Third Quarter Market Recap: Navigating Volatility and Tech-Driven Rallies The third quarter of 2024 was anything but boring, with markets experiencing both soaring highs and sharp drops. Investors on both sides of the border navigated lower interest rates, slowing inflation, mixed economic data, strong earnings reports, and global stimulus efforts—all fueling heightened volatility, particularly in […]
Author Archives: 1investor
Weekly Update for the week ending October 11, 2024
Last week, I touched on why October has a bit of a reputation as a volatile month in the markets—historical crashes, rapid recoveries, and plenty of unpredictability. So, what should you expect for your portfolio this October? Let us take a look.
First off, volatility does not necessarily mean disaster. In fact, it can create opportunities, especially for long-term investors. If you see sharp drops in certain stocks or sectors, it could be a chance to add to your positions or get into new ones at discounted prices. But timing the market is tricky—so keep your long-term goals in mind (you have set some long-term goals, right?) rather than reacting emotionally to short-term swings.
Weekly Update for the week ending October 4, 2024
October: A Month of Market Mayhem or Opportunities?
September may be notorious for its volatility, but October is when the real drama unfolds in the markets. October has witnessed some of the stock market’s most jaw-dropping crashes, earning its reputation for volatility. One of the earliest examples was the Panic of 1907, which peaked in October, wiping out about 50% of the market’s value due to a banking crisis sparked by failed speculation. Then there’s Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929, a date forever linked to the crash that ushered in the Great Depression. Preceded by Black Thursday (October 24) and Black Monday (October 28), this period erased massive wealth and sent shockwaves across the global economy. Fast forward to October 19, 1987—Black Monday—when the Dow Jones nosedived 22.6% in a single day, the largest one-day percentage drop in US history. Fueled by program trading, overvalued stocks, and low liquidity, this crash triggered investor panic.
However, October is also known for remarkable recoveries. After the 1987 crash, the markets began to recover within months, regaining most losses by year-end. Similarly, October 2002 signaled the bottom of the bear market that followed the dot-com bubble burst, paving the way for a bull run that lasted until October 2007, during which the S&P 500 more than doubled, driven by economic recovery, low interest rates, and strong corporate earnings. While October is notorious for downturns, it also marks key turning points toward recovery.
Weekly Update for the week ending September 27, 2024
As I mentioned earlier this month [link to Sept 6], September usually gets a bad rap as one of the toughest months for stocks. But this year? It has been a pleasant surprise! Thanks to anticipation around the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) first rate cut since the COVID-19 pandemic began in March 2020, the market’s mood shifted. Add in the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) third rate cut in three months, and it has been a win for Canadian investors too. It seems like both central banks feel they are finally winning the inflation battle—if it is not already won.
Weekly Update for the week ending September 20, 2024
Connecting the Dots II: US Economic Data and Fed Policy
Last week, I talked about how Canadian economic reports connect [link to sept. 13] and impact Bank of Canada (BoC) decisions, which in turn affect investors. This week, I will dive into the American economic reports, exploring how the US Federal Reserve (Fed) uses data to shape interest rates, and what that means for us Canadian investors.
Weekly Update for the week ending September 13, 2024
Connecting the economic dots
You might have noticed that I always highlight economic data in my Weekly Updates. I get it—it can seem a bit dry, and you might wonder why I make it such a priority. Honestly, before I started investing, my eyes glazed over when I saw all those reports too! 😊 But once I began to take investing more seriously, I started paying attention to what really moves the markets, especially those sharper swings.
When you are new to investing, reports like labour data, inflation stats, and economic growth figures might feel overwhelming. But once you understand how they fit together, it all starts to make sense—especially when it comes to how the Bank of Canada (BoC) makes decisions that can directly impact your investments.