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Weekly Update for the week ending April 12, 2024

This past week was pivotal for investors. The latest US inflation numbers, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), could swing the door open for a possible US interest rate cut in June – if it indicated that inflation was on the decline. Conversely, flat, or rising inflation rates could extinguish any hopes for a rate reduction in June.

In this week’s edition of our series for new investors, I will cover a few of the risks beginners should be aware of when they start investing. Alongside the latest US inflation report and what it meant for investors, let’s see what else happened this past week….

Weekly Update for the week ending April 5, 2024

Navigating the world of investing often mirrors the emotional rollercoaster experienced by hockey fans as the season nears its end and the draft lottery looms. The dilemma? To wholeheartedly support your team’s victories or, paradoxically, hope for losses if it secures a superior draft spot. This dichotomy is strikingly similar in the realm of investments, where economic news can simultaneously herald positive developments and trigger investor apprehension. Take, for example, the recent labour report from the US: It showed job growth and wage increases surpassing expectations—a testament to a thriving economy and a win for the workforce. Yet, for those keen on seeing interest rates decline, this was a setback. Rising wages, after all, can exacerbate inflationary pressures. The statement by a Federal Reserve official that it is “much too soon to think about cutting interest rates” effectively quashed any hopes for an imminent rate cut, epitomizing the scenario where robust economic health can dampen prospects for those favoring lower interest rates. ☹

Weekly Update for the week ending March 29, 2024

As we headed into March, buoyed by a strong rally, I held high expectations. Known historically as a favorable month for North American stock markets, and with a wealth of positive economic indicators on the horizon, it seemed the stage was set for significant market advancements. Analysts in both Canada and the USA were looking for data indicating robust economies, stable job markets, and decreasing inflation rates going into the month.

Indeed, the March reports did not disappoint. They painted a picture of strong economies and steady job markets across North America, alongside growing investor optimism and diminishing inflation. These developments have heightened investors’ expectations for interest rate cuts by the central banks of Canada and the US come June. Furthermore, with April historically being a strong month for the markets (though it is important to remember that past performance does not guarantee future results), the stage seems perfectly set for a bullish April.

Let us hope the bulls take the lead and run with it. 😊