Connecting the Dots II: US Economic Data and Fed Policy
Last week, I talked about how Canadian economic reports connect [link to sept. 13] and impact Bank of Canada (BoC) decisions, which in turn affect investors. This week, I will dive into the American economic reports, exploring how the US Federal Reserve (Fed) uses data to shape interest rates, and what that means for us Canadian investors.
Tag: ccl
Weekly Update for the week ending August 2, 2024
This past week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it would keep the benchmark interest rate at 5.5%, a move that was widely expected. However, the Fed also hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in September, as inflation cools and the labour market shows signs of slowing. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) unanimously agreed to maintain the federal funds rate in the 5.25% to 5.5% range, where it has been for the past year.
Weekly Update for the week ending June 28, 2024
I am very happy with the nearly 19% gain in Microsoft’s (NASD: MSFT) share price since the start of the year. Normally, that would be a fantastic return for six months. But compared to the performance of another tech giant – Nvidia (NASD: NVDA) – it is modest. Nvidia is experiencing extraordinary times, thanks to […]
Weekly Update for the week ending May 3, 2024
This past week, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) convened to set monetary policy, most notably the US benchmark interest rate. These decisions have a profound influence on investors in both Canada and the United States. Generally, lower interest rates can lead to higher stock prices and a calmer market environment, and happier investors 😊. Conversely, higher rates can introduce volatility and encourage a shift towards more conservative investments.
Beyond investor sentiment, the FOMC’s decisions on the US benchmark interest rate can significantly influence the actions of the Bank of Canada (BoC) with regards to Canada’s interest rate. The relationship between these rates is critical because a substantial difference can have several repercussions on the Canadian economy.
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Weekly Update for the week ending April 12, 2024
This past week was pivotal for investors. The latest US inflation numbers, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), could swing the door open for a possible US interest rate cut in June – if it indicated that inflation was on the decline. Conversely, flat, or rising inflation rates could extinguish any hopes for a rate reduction in June.
In this week’s edition of our series for new investors, I will cover a few of the risks beginners should be aware of when they start investing. Alongside the latest US inflation report and what it meant for investors, let’s see what else happened this past week….
Weekly Update for the week ending April 5, 2024
Navigating the world of investing often mirrors the emotional rollercoaster experienced by hockey fans as the season nears its end and the draft lottery looms. The dilemma? To wholeheartedly support your team’s victories or, paradoxically, hope for losses if it secures a superior draft spot. This dichotomy is strikingly similar in the realm of investments, where economic news can simultaneously herald positive developments and trigger investor apprehension. Take, for example, the recent labour report from the US: It showed job growth and wage increases surpassing expectations—a testament to a thriving economy and a win for the workforce. Yet, for those keen on seeing interest rates decline, this was a setback. Rising wages, after all, can exacerbate inflationary pressures. The statement by a Federal Reserve official that it is “much too soon to think about cutting interest rates” effectively quashed any hopes for an imminent rate cut, epitomizing the scenario where robust economic health can dampen prospects for those favoring lower interest rates. ☹