Skip to main content

Weekly Update for the week ending December 5, 2025

Will Santa Show Up for the Markets This Year?
Typically, September and October are considered two of the softer months for the markets, while November and December are traditionally stronger. This year has been the opposite, with a surprisingly solid September and October. By the end of October, I was feeling optimistic – with two of the more volatile months in the rear-view mirror, a strong finish to the year seemed likely. Unfortunately, that optimism didn’t pan out, as November came in weaker than usual and barely avoided slipping into the red.

Now December is here, and I’m not sure what to expect. December is usually a strong month for stocks, thanks to what’s known as the Santa Claus Rally. But some analysts are suggesting we may not see Santa’s visit this time around, which got me wondering why a month that’s typically upbeat might fall short. So why do analysts think Santa may sit this year out? Let’s take a brief look – but first, what makes December a strong month?

Weekly Update for the week ending December 1, 2023

Items that may only interest or educate me ….

Canadian Economic news, US Economic news, Cyber weekend, Passing of an investing giant, ChatGPT turns 1….

Well, that was quite the November to remember, wasn’t it? It has only been a day but the investor optimism that propelled the markets higher in November seems to have carried over to December as the S&P 500 had its best day of the year to keep the November rally rolling into December. This optimism largely stems from analysts’ belief that the central banks are finished raising rates. Talk has turned from when will the banks stop raising rates to when will they start lowering rates.

Hopefully investor confidence will provide a strong tailwind leading into the annual Santa Claus rally. The rally typically lasts from mid December to early January. During this period, the markets have performed well 75% of the time. Let us hope Santa Claus arrives early and stays late. 😊