Relief Rally on the Horizon?
Exploring the sectors likely to gain – or stumble – if tensions ease.
Markets on both sides of the 49th parallel have been rattled by escalating Middle East tensions. With a potential ceasefire on the horizon, investors are watching closely to see which sectors could gain – or stumble – if hostilities ease.
We are not in the era of Skynet – the rogue AI from The Terminator movies – just yet, but Artificial intelligence (AI) has moved from science fiction to everyday life, and tools like ChatGPT have become the poster child of this transformation. Launched just two years ago, ChatGPT isn’t just a tech innovation – it’s a prime example of how AI is reshaping the way we communicate, work, and even invest. For investors keen on spotting trends, understanding ChatGPT’s rise and its impact on industries offers valuable insights into how AI is driving change and creating new opportunities. But first, let’s start with the basics: what exactly is a chatbot?
Last week, I touched on why October has a bit of a reputation as a volatile month in the markets—historical crashes, rapid recoveries, and plenty of unpredictability. So, what should you expect for your portfolio this October? Let us take a look.
First off, volatility does not necessarily mean disaster. In fact, it can create opportunities, especially for long-term investors. If you see sharp drops in certain stocks or sectors, it could be a chance to add to your positions or get into new ones at discounted prices. But timing the market is tricky—so keep your long-term goals in mind (you have set some long-term goals, right?) rather than reacting emotionally to short-term swings.
This past week, as I reviewed my three portfolios, I was surprised by the number of trades I had made in the past few months – a total of 21 across all portfolios. Unfortunately, all but one were on my TD Direct Investing account, costing me almost $200. While not a significant amount in the grand scheme, it is still $200 less available for investment. ☹️
Part of my investment philosophy is to let winners run rather than selling early to lock in gains. This approach has been beneficial with stocks like Nvidia (NASD: NVDA) and Shopify (TSE: SHOP). However, I reduced my holdings in each after they came to represent over 40% of Portfolio 1 and Portfolio 3, respectively, to manage increased volatility.
On the flip side, this strategy has sometimes resulted in missed opportunities for greater profits, as was the case with Illumin Holdings (TSE: ILLM). After surging from C$2.00 to C$32.00 per share in less than a year, it plummeted to C$1.64. Although I made a profit, I could have made more had I sold earlier. ☹
While I generally prefer to let winners run and even expand my investments in them, I recognize there are times when it is wise to sell part of a stake, especially in smaller, more volatile companies.
This past week, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) convened to set monetary policy, most notably the US benchmark interest rate. These decisions have a profound influence on investors in both Canada and the United States. Generally, lower interest rates can lead to higher stock prices and a calmer market environment, and happier investors 😊. Conversely, higher rates can introduce volatility and encourage a shift towards more conservative investments.
Beyond investor sentiment, the FOMC’s decisions on the US benchmark interest rate can significantly influence the actions of the Bank of Canada (BoC) with regards to Canada’s interest rate. The relationship between these rates is critical because a substantial difference can have several repercussions on the Canadian economy.
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