Skip to main content

Monthly Portfolio Update August 2025

Bull and bear facing off

Monthly Market and Portfolio Review

Bull market. A good week for the North American stock markets. August is usually a sleepy month for markets, with many professional investors off on holiday and trading volumes thin. But this year, the supposedly quiet stretch turned into another winning month. All four major indexes extended their streaks, with the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) chalking up its fifth consecutive monthly gain – up 1.6%, its longest run in nearly a year and a half. The S&P 500 (S&P) added 1.9%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) climbed 3.2%, and the Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index (TSX) led the pack with a surge of 4.8%, its strongest showing of the summer. For the S&P and DJIA, it marked their longest streak since fall 2024.

The rally was less about confidence in the US economy, which appears to be slowing, and more about strong earnings, especially the heavyweight technology names and the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence (AI) related demand. Inflation held steady, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed), while earnings season delivered another boost – especially from Nvidia’s blockbuster results and Apple’s massive US investment plans. That mix kept sentiment upbeat, even when a few speed bumps appeared.

On the global stage, trade remained in focus. The US and China extended their tariff truce and opened new rounds of high-level talks. Both countries remain tightly linked through technology and critical materials, and that interdependence has so far prevented a full-blown trade war.

Politics, however, injected another layer of uncertainty. President Trump tried to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook in an unprecedented move that shook confidence in central bank independence. Cook is fighting back in court, and nearly 600 economists have publicly defended her, warning that politicizing the Fed could damage stability at home and abroad. Investors are now weighing the risk of Trump stacking the Fed with allies who favour aggressive rate cuts.

While US markets leaned on the technology companies, Canada had its own moment in the sun. The TSX hit record highs, lifted by strong earnings from the big six banks – helped by smaller loan-loss provisions – and a standout quarter from Shopify. Rising commodity prices in oil, gold, and copper added fuel to the rally, while the extended US – China truce provided welcome relief for exporters. Despite mid-month jitters tied to the Fed drama, momentum stayed intact, and analysts see room for the TSX to climb further if trade stability and low interest rates hold.

The month wrapped up with a reminder that risks still loom – softening labour and inflation data, Trump’s intensifying trade war tactics, and his escalating fight with the Fed. Historically, August and September have been the toughest months for the S&P 500, but this August held up its end of the bargain. Now all eyes turn to September to see if the win streaks can keep rolling.

Portfolio Monthly Streak
Portfolio 1: 4 – month winning streak
Portfolio 2: 5 – month winning streak
Portfolio 3: 4 – month winning streak

Bull market. A good week for the North American stock markets. With all four major indexes finishing August in the green, it was no surprise that all three portfolios managed to extend their winning streaks. Still, the results were a bit of a mixed bag. One portfolio underperformed even the weakest index, the Nasdaq which gained 1.6%, while another barely matched it – both weighed down by Nvidia’s (NASD: NVDA) month long stumble.

Portfolio 1 ended the month up 1.6%, a respectable gain given the turbulence. Shopify (TSE: SHOP), Lattice Semiconductor (NASD: LSCC), Celsius (NASD: CELH), and Apple (NASD: AAPL) all delivered strong advances, while Sea Limited’s (NYSE: SE) earnings surprise and Celestica’s (TSE: CLS) multiple record highs added more fuel. Nvidia’s decline clipped momentum in the back half, but Google (NASD: GOOGL), Cameco (TSE: CCO), and Interactive Brokers (NASD: IBKR) helped offset the Nvidia drag. A steady month overall, with technology companies’ volatility keeping things interesting.

Portfolio 2 was the standout, surging 7.2% as it notched weekly gains across the board. The star of the show was MongoDB (NASD: MDB), soaring 44% on the back of strong earnings. Guardant Health (NASD: GH), Mitek Systems (NASD: MITK), TC Energy (TSE: TRP), and record highs for Microsoft (NASD: MSFT) and Fortis (TSE: FTS) also added to the strength. Even with some softness in the energy companies, MongoDB’s leap carried the portfolio to a stellar month.

Portfolio 3 brought up the rear with a 1.4% gain. It came out of the gate hot, jumping 6.2% at the start of the month thanks to Shopify and goeasy (TSE: GSY). But repeated pullbacks in its two largest positions – Nvidia and Shopify – weighed on the portfolio. Many smaller holdings held up well, but with over half the portfolio tied to its giants, the losses were hard to escape.

All in all, August showed the value of balance. While Nvidia’s pullback weighed on two portfolios, strong performances from other holdings kept all three in the green. Portfolio 2’s breadth of winners really stood out, while Portfolios 1 and 3 were a reminder of how a few large positions can heavily sway results. Diversification continues to prove its worth. August was a pleasant surprise, and I’m hopeful September will break from its tradition of being the worst month for the markets. Fingers crossed. 😊

Monthly Portfolio & Index performance
Monthly Portfolio & Index performance for August 2025.

What My Three Portfolios Did in August

Portfolio 1

Portfolio 1 for August 2025: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

Activity

No significant activity to report this month.

Dividends Received this month:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

BSR Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE: HOM.UN)

Bank of Nova Scotia (TSE: BNS)

Pulse Seismic Inc (TSE: PSD) DRIP

Decisive Dividend Corp (TSEV: DE) DRIP

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TSE: TOU)

Dream Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE: DIR.UN) DRIP

TMX Group Ltd (TSE: X) DRIP

US $

Apple Inc (NASD: AAPL)

Costco Wholesale Corp (NASD: COST)

Quarterly Reports

Telus Corporation

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 1, 2025

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 4, 2025

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 4, 2025

Skyworks Solutions, Inc

Third quarter 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025

Shopify Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025

Magnite, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Trisura Group Ltd.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

BCE Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Datadog, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

The Trade Desk, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

indie Semiconductor, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Formula One Group (Liberty Media Corporation)

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Docebo Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 8, 2025

Sea Limited

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 12, 2025

The Home Depot

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 19, 2025

Walmart Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 21, 2025

Kraken Robotics Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 21, 2025

The Bank of Nova Scotia

Third quarter 2025 financial results on August 26, 2025

Nvidia Corporation

Third quarter 2025 financial results on August 27, 2025

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 27, 2025

TD Bank Group

Third quarter 2025 financial results on August 28, 2025

Portfolio 2 for August 2025: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

Activity

No significant activity to report this month.

Dividends Received this month:

Canadian $

Dollarama (TSE: DOL)

SmartCentres REIT (TSE: SRU.U)

Bank of Nova Scotia (TSE: BNS) DRIP

Whitecap Resources (TSE: WCP)

TC Energy (TSE: TRP)

Tourmaline Oil Corp (TSE: TOU)

Dream Industrial Properties REIT (TSE: DIR.UN) DRIP

Pulse Seismic (TSE: PSD) DRIP

Decisive Dividend Corp (TSEV: DE) DRIP

US $

Apple (NASD: AAPL)

BSR Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE: HOM.UN)

Costco Wholesale (NASD: COST)

Quarterly Reports

Fortis Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 1, 2025

Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 1, 2025

Telus Corporation

See report under Portfolio 1.

Zoetis Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025

The Walt Disney Company

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025

Airbnb, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025

South Bow Corp.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025

Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Mitek Systems, Inc.

Third quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Supremex Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

SmartCentre Real Estate Investment Trust

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

First quarter 2026 financial results on August 7, 2025

Birkenstock Holding plc

Third quarter 2025 financial results on August 14, 2025

The Bank of Nova Scotia

See report under Portfolio 1.

MongoDB, Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 26, 2025

Dollarama Inc.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 27, 2025

Portfolio 3 for August 2025: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

Activity

No significant activity to report this month.

Dividends Received this month:

Canadian $

SmartCentres REIT (TSE: SRU.U) DRIP

Royal Bank of Canada (TSE: RY)

Enghouse Systems (TSE: ENGH)

US $

No US$ dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

See report under Portfolio 2.

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025

Shopify Inc.

See report under Portfolio 1.

Magnite, Inc.

See report under Portfolio 1.

Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025

SmartCentre Real Estate Investment Trust

See report under Portfolio 2.

Goeasy Ltd.

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Brookfield Corporation

Second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025

Royal Bank of Canada

Third quarter 2025 financial results on August 27, 2025

Nvidia Corporation

See report under Portfolio 1.

TD Bank Group

See report under Portfolio 1.