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Weekly Update for the week ending October 4, 2024

October: A Month of Market Mayhem or Opportunities?

September may be notorious for its volatility, but October is when the real drama unfolds in the markets. October has witnessed some of the stock market’s most jaw-dropping crashes, earning its reputation for volatility. One of the earliest examples was the Panic of 1907, which peaked in October, wiping out about 50% of the market’s value due to a banking crisis sparked by failed speculation. Then there’s Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929, a date forever linked to the crash that ushered in the Great Depression. Preceded by Black Thursday (October 24) and Black Monday (October 28), this period erased massive wealth and sent shockwaves across the global economy. Fast forward to October 19, 1987—Black Monday—when the Dow Jones nosedived 22.6% in a single day, the largest one-day percentage drop in US history. Fueled by program trading, overvalued stocks, and low liquidity, this crash triggered investor panic.

However, October is also known for remarkable recoveries. After the 1987 crash, the markets began to recover within months, regaining most losses by year-end. Similarly, October 2002 signaled the bottom of the bear market that followed the dot-com bubble burst, paving the way for a bull run that lasted until October 2007, during which the S&P 500 more than doubled, driven by economic recovery, low interest rates, and strong corporate earnings. While October is notorious for downturns, it also marks key turning points toward recovery.

Weekly Update for the week ending September 20, 2024

Connecting the Dots II: US Economic Data and Fed Policy
Last week, I talked about how Canadian economic reports connect [link to sept. 13] and impact Bank of Canada (BoC) decisions, which in turn affect investors. This week, I will dive into the American economic reports, exploring how the US Federal Reserve (Fed) uses data to shape interest rates, and what that means for us Canadian investors.

Weekly Update for the week ending September 6, 2024

September has a long-standing reputation for being one of the worst and most turbulent months for the markets, often marked by increased volatility. This phenomenon is often referred to as the “September Effect.” This year appears to be no exception as investors try to gauge the Federal Reserve’s next moves based on the latest economic data. Historically, it has been the worst-performing month for the indexes. In fact, from 1950 to 2023, the S&P 500 (S&P) averaged a decline of about 0.5% in September, making it one of the few months where the index consistently posts negative returns.

Weekly Update for the week ending August 30, 2024

Since 2019, Nvidia’s (NASD: NVDA) share price has soared 3,476%, thanks to its pivotal role in supplying the heart of artificial intelligence (AI). Few companies wield as much market influence as Nvidia, and anticipation was sky-high leading up to its earnings release. Investors were on edge, eager to see whether Nvidia would meet or surpass expectations.

Weekly Update for the week ending June 28, 2024

I am very happy with the nearly 19% gain in Microsoft’s (NASD: MSFT) share price since the start of the year. Normally, that would be a fantastic return for six months. But compared to the performance of another tech giant – Nvidia (NASD: NVDA) – it is modest. Nvidia is experiencing extraordinary times, thanks to […]