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Weekly Update for the week ending March 28, 2025

Economists and analysts have been bringing up the word ‘stagflation’ lately – and that’s not a good thing. It’s an economic scenario no one wants, where growth stalls while prices keep rising. The term might sound complicated but understanding it now can help you avoid surprises later. So this week, I thought I’d go over what stagflation is and explain it in a way that’s easy to understand.

What is Stagflation?

Imagine you’re driving in bumper-to-bumper traffic – moving painfully slow – but at the same time, your car’s engine is overheating. That’s basically stagflation in economic terms: the economy isn’t growing much (or at all), but prices keep rising. Normally, inflation happens when the economy is booming, and a slowdown helps cool things down. But stagflation flips the script, combining slow growth with rising costs – something that can leave consumers squeezed and businesses struggling.

Weekly Update for the week ending August 2, 2024

This past week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it would keep the benchmark interest rate at 5.5%, a move that was widely expected. However, the Fed also hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in September, as inflation cools and the labour market shows signs of slowing. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) unanimously agreed to maintain the federal funds rate in the 5.25% to 5.5% range, where it has been for the past year.

Weekly Update for the week ending April 26, 2024

For the past three weeks, economic news—covering economic output, labour markets, and inflation—has dominated market movements. This focus shifted this past week as over 40% of the S&P 500 companies reported their earnings. Strong reports, especially from the largest companies, could likely sustain the market’s upward trajectory. However, if earnings reports are underwhelming, the markets may continue the recent pullback.

Additionally, key updates such as the US economic growth data and the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure were released. Ideally, the Fed wants the economy to stay strong while inflation cools down.

Let’s see how this shift toward corporate performance and the latest economic updates impacted the markets over the last week…

Weekly Update for the week ending April 19, 2024

April has not been the easiest month for us investors. We have seen losses across the board, with each week bringing its own set of challenges. The first week the markets dipped following strong US labour data, suggesting the economy might be too warm, which could deter the US Federal Reserve (Fed) from lowering interest rates. In the second week, higher-than-expected inflation data further soured the mood, heightening concerns about persistent high prices. This past week, comments from various Fed officials have added to market jitters. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current 5.5% interest rate could stay in place “as long as needed” to manage inflation, a stance echoed by other officials who see no rush to cut rates.

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Weekly Update for the week ending February 9, 2024

This past week, with a lull in economic news, corporate earnings captured the spotlight – and they certainly delivered. Fueling investor optimism further were the revised US Consumer Price Index numbers for December, indicating lower inflation than initially reported. This shift has led investors to speculate about the potential for the Federal Reserve to lower […]