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Weekly Update for the week ending October 10, 2025

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Will October be Trick or Treat for Investors?
After an unusually strong September, we’re stepping into the witching month – a time with a well-earned reputation for market drama. October has long carried a spooky aura on Wall Street, and for good reason. It’s seen some of the biggest market crashes in history. The Great Crash of 1929 kicked off the Great Depression after years of speculation and margin buying came undone, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tumbling nearly 90% from its peak and taking 25 years to fully recover. In 1987, “Black Monday” struck when computer-driven trading and panic selling triggered a record one-day drop of 22.6%, though markets managed to rebound within two years. It remains one of the worst single-day declines in Canadian market history. And in 2008, the collapse of the American housing market and the global credit freeze sent the S&P 500 (S&P) plunging 57% and the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) dropped about 16%, with a full recovery taking about four years.

Yet despite those infamous moments, October isn’t the market villain it’s often made out to be.

Monthly Portfolio Update September 2025

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September flipped the script on its usual reputation as a tough month for stocks. North American markets finished strong, capping a solid third quarter and extending impressive streaks of gains. The Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index surged 5.1%, while the S&P 500 climbed 3.5%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 5.6%. Record highs were the theme of the month: the Nasdaq and S&P hit multiple peaks, delivering their best September since 2010 and strongest third quarter since 2020, while the Dow notched its fifth straight monthly gain. Up north, the TSX also marked its fifth consecutive monthly advance.

Let’s take a quick look at what moved the markets and how my three portfolios performed in September…

Weekly Update for the week ending September 12, 2025

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How Jobs and Prices Drive Rate Cuts
Recently the US labour market has been flashing signs of weakness, and this week’s revisions pushed job numbers even lower. That matters because the strength of the labour market often sets the tone for the economy – more jobs usually mean more spending, while slower job growth suggests things may be cooling. Against that backdrop, attention this past week turned to two key inflation reports: the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Weekly Update for the week ending September 5, 2025

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September Slump: Will This Year Be Different?
September has a bit of a bad reputation on Wall Street. Historically, it’s the weakest month for stocks – a pattern often called the “September Effect.” Unlike other market drops tied to clear events, this is more of a seasonal trend. Some say investors pull back after the summer rally to lock in profits. Others point to mutual funds and big institutions rebalancing portfolios ahead of year-end, which adds selling pressure. Add in traders returning from summer holidays with a cautious outlook, and September has often leaned negative.

History has delivered some painful reminders. In 2008, during the financial crisis, the S&P 500 plunged nearly 9% in a single September. In 2001, the 9/11 attacks triggered a steep selloff. More recently, in 2022, the index slid almost 10% as rising interest rates rattled investors.

So, what could make this September another challenging month?

Weekly Update for the week ending July 4, 2025

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When Good News Is Bad News (and Vice Versa)

This week brought a steady stream of US labour market data, and you might’ve noticed something that feels a little backwards: sometimes good news about jobs or the economy makes stocks fall, while disappointing news sends markets higher. At first, this can be hard to wrap your head around. After all, if more people are working and businesses are hiring, that should be a positive sign, right? But markets don’t just react to the data itself – they react to what that data means for interest rates and the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) next move.

Weekly Update for the week ending May 2, 2025

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One phrase I keep running into early on my investing journey is “risk on, risk off.” At first, I thought it just meant investors were either piling into riskier assets (like technology stocks) or playing it safe with something more stable (like utility stocks). And while that’s partly true, there’s a bit more nuance behind it.