A Government Shutdown Doesn’t Mean a Market Meltdown
This past week, funding for the US government expired at midnight on September 30. With Republicans and Democrats dug in, no deal was reached to pass a temporary spending bill and avert a shutdown. As a result, the government was suspended for the 15th time since 1981, halting scientific research, financial oversight, environmental cleanup, and a wide range of other services. About 750,000 federal workers were ordered to stay home, while others – including the armed forces and Border Patrol agents – continued working without pay (they’ll be paid retroactively once operations resume). A shutdown usually doesn’t send markets into free fall, but it does tend to stir up volatility on both sides of the border. So, let’s take a look at what a US government shutdown actually is and what it means for us investors.
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Weekly Update for the week ending March 28, 2025
Economists and analysts have been bringing up the word ‘stagflation’ lately – and that’s not a good thing. It’s an economic scenario no one wants, where growth stalls while prices keep rising. The term might sound complicated but understanding it now can help you avoid surprises later. So this week, I thought I’d go over what stagflation is and explain it in a way that’s easy to understand.
What is Stagflation?
Imagine you’re driving in bumper-to-bumper traffic – moving painfully slow – but at the same time, your car’s engine is overheating. That’s basically stagflation in economic terms: the economy isn’t growing much (or at all), but prices keep rising. Normally, inflation happens when the economy is booming, and a slowdown helps cool things down. But stagflation flips the script, combining slow growth with rising costs – something that can leave consumers squeezed and businesses struggling.
Monthly Portfolio Update January 2025
January was a comeback month for the markets, with all four major North American indexes finishing in the green and getting back in the win column. The rally was fueled by strong earnings, solid economic data, and the Fed’s decision to keep interest rates steady. Excitement around AI also played a big role, pushing technology stocks higher—at least for most of the month. But it wasn’t all smooth sailing.
Weekly Update for the week ending January 24, 2025
Dividend Fallacy
When a friend told me they were choosing stocks based on dividend yields, it got me thinking—how many of us have fallen into this same trap? High dividend yields can feel like a golden ticket, but are they always as good as they seem? Let’s look at two common pitfalls: the “dividend fallacy” and the “dividend trap.”
Weekly Update for the week ending December 13, 2024
How Economic Indicators Influence the Stock Market
Ever wonder how the broader economy ties into your investments? Economic indicators like Gross Domestic Product (GDP), unemployment rates, and inflation serve as the heartbeat of the economy, giving us a window into its health and influencing stock market movements. Understanding these metrics can feel like unlocking a cheat code – helping you spot trends, anticipate changes, and make decisions with confidence. Let us explore these key indicators and their influence on your investments.
Weekly Update for the week ending December 6, 2024
December is here, bringing hope that this historically strong month for stocks will close out the year on a high note. 2024 has already seen indexes setting and breaking record highs, leaving investors eager for a festive flourish to finish the year. Historically, December has earned its reputation as a strong performer, thanks in part to the “Santa Claus rally.” This phenomenon often lifts markets during the last week of December and the first few trading days of January. While the rally is not guaranteed, several factors help explain why December tends to shine.