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Weekly Update for the week ending April 19, 2024

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April has not been the easiest month for us investors. We have seen losses across the board, with each week bringing its own set of challenges. The first week the markets dipped following strong US labour data, suggesting the economy might be too warm, which could deter the US Federal Reserve (Fed) from lowering interest rates. In the second week, higher-than-expected inflation data further soured the mood, heightening concerns about persistent high prices. This past week, comments from various Fed officials have added to market jitters. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current 5.5% interest rate could stay in place “as long as needed” to manage inflation, a stance echoed by other officials who see no rush to cut rates.

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Weekly Update for the week ending March 29, 2024

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As we headed into March, buoyed by a strong rally, I held high expectations. Known historically as a favorable month for North American stock markets, and with a wealth of positive economic indicators on the horizon, it seemed the stage was set for significant market advancements. Analysts in both Canada and the USA were looking for data indicating robust economies, stable job markets, and decreasing inflation rates going into the month.

Indeed, the March reports did not disappoint. They painted a picture of strong economies and steady job markets across North America, alongside growing investor optimism and diminishing inflation. These developments have heightened investors’ expectations for interest rate cuts by the central banks of Canada and the US come June. Furthermore, with April historically being a strong month for the markets (though it is important to remember that past performance does not guarantee future results), the stage seems perfectly set for a bullish April.

Let us hope the bulls take the lead and run with it. 😊