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Weekly Update for the week ending April 7, 2023

Items that may only interest or educate me ….

Canadian economic stats, oil production cutbacks, American jobs cooling, but first ….

Bugs Bunny picture Happy Easter | Funny easter pictures, Easter humor ...


Last Thursday, Statistics Canada reported the Canadian economy remains strong, adding 34,700 jobs in March, higher than the 12,000 jobs analysts predicted. Employment has been trending upward since September, with March being the seventh straight month of higher job numbers. Meanwhile, for the fourth straight months unemployment remained at 5%, barely above the record low of 4.9%. Finally, average hourly wages rose 5.3% on a year over year basis, down slightly from February’s 5.4%.

In global trading, despite a strong start in January, Canada’s trade surplus for February fell to C$422 million, down from January’s C$1.2 billion surplus. Analysts had been expecting the surplus to come in at C$1.80 billion. On a yearly basis, exports were down 2.4% and imports decreased 1.3%. Exports were down for all but two of the thirteen classified sectors. On the import side, five of the classifications posted gains, with eight sectors falling back.

Canada’s manufacturing activity shrank in March after two months of growth. In March, the Canadian Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 48.6, its lowest level since June 2020. On the PMI scale, anything below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, whereas a reading above 50 indicates growth in the sector.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is scheduled to meet next week where they will announce any changes to Canada’s benchmark interest rate. They must balance inflationary data such as continuing strong jobs growth, rising wages, and a growing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) against a cooling manufacturing sector and a shrinking trade surplus. They also must consider the uncertainty of a recession, along with the global banking crisis, which has made it more challenging to borrow money. As a result, companies are hesitant to place large, costly orders. Overall, I suspect the BoC will maintain their pause on interest hikes, holding it at 4.5%, but they will warn they are prepared to act if the data indicates inflation does not continue to fall.


In a case of bad news is good news, many of the oil producing countries announced they would reduce oil production by 1.65 million of barrels per day (bpd), with Saudi Arabia having the biggest cutback of 500,000 bpd. The 21 member OPEC+ nations previously cut production in late 2022 by two million bpd, and they were expected to keep production steady through 2023.

Saudi Arabia said the cuts were a “precautionary move” to stabilize the oil market. I read that as keeping the price of oil high. As I mentioned in the October 28 Weekly Update, the Saudis plan to use the oil revenues to finance a number of mega-projects to overhaul their economy as part of their Vision 2030. Imagine, using oil revenues instead of taxpayers’ dollars to finance government priorities.

From a consumer viewpoint, the reduction in oil production could lead to higher prices at the pumps this summer. ☹ From an investing perspective, higher oil prices should lead to higher revenues for oil producers. The higher revenues should lead to rising share prices and dividends. 😊


The US Labor Department’s March employment data (nonfarm payroll employment) showed the country added 236,000 jobs in March, down from the 326,000 added in February. Unemployment fell to 3.5%, down slightly from February’s 3.6%. This indicates the American job market is starting to cool off, and in turn will slow down consumer demand for products and services. This would be the result the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has been waiting for since they started raising the benchmark interest rate.

Along with the higher interest rate, the banking crisis may be having the same effect as an interest rate hike and function as a brake on the economy. Since the collapse of two regional banks, it has become harder to borrow money because banks have become more cautious with their lending practices’ which in turn has made it harder to access credit. The combination of higher interest rates and the slowdown caused by the banking crisis are cooling the US economy but is it enough for the Fed to stop increasing the interest rate. We shall see come May 2.


Its interesting how a few months ago investors were happy when data indicated a slowing economy. It seemed as if the Fed’s interest rate hikes were working, and they could ease up on the interest rate hikes they were using in their battle to get inflation back to their target of 2%. Today, investors no longer are cheering similar economic data because instead of showing inflation falling, it indicates a recession may be on the horizon.


It was a short week as investors prepare for the arrival of the Easter Bunny this weekend. It was not a great week but at least the markets did not lay an egg this past week. 😊 With that weak attempt at humour out of the way, let’s see what happened this past week….

Weekly Market Review

Monday: The second quarter got off to a good start with three of the four major North American indexes climbing higher. An unexpected cut to oil supplies sent oil prices surging as well as the share prices of many oil companies.

In Canada, the Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index (TSX) got a boost from the higher oil prices, helping it extend its winning streak to seven straight days of gains. The Energy sector was the best performing sector in Canada, followed by Basic Materials (miners and fertilizer manufacturers) and Financials. All the other sectors ended the day lower, with the Technology and Healthcare sectors dropping the most.

In the US, the S&P 500 Index (S&P) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ended higher, while the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) ended the day slightly lower. Economic data showed a decrease in US manufacturing activity for the fifth straight month suggesting inflation in the US continued to fall. However, the good news was offset by expected higher oil prices this summer. Energy costs are a big driver of inflation so inflation could inch back up. In the American markets, the Energy sector had a great day (up 5%), more than five times higher than the second place Healthcare sector. The Utilities and Consumer Cyclicals had the biggest falls.

Tuesday: Winning streaks were broken today as the markets slipped lower on economic news that the US economy could suffer a sharp downturn. At the same time, the weaker data gave investors hope the Fed would pause future rate hikes. Oil prices managed a slight increase despite fears of falling demand for oil caused by a recession.

In Canada, the TSX started the day higher but quickly fell into the red. A last-minute rally fell short of running its winning streak to eight. On Bay Street, despite ending the day in the red, most Canadian sectors gained ground, led by Telecommunications Services and Basic Materials. However, the declines, led by Consumer Cyclicals and Financials were too much to overcome.

In the US, a selloff in bank shares pushed the indexes lower, ending the winning streaks of the S&P and DJIA. In economic news, the number of job openings in February fell to the lowest since May 2021 indicating the demand for labour was falling. Not great news for workers but a step in the right direction in the Fed’s battle with inflation. As well, factory orders dropped by 0.3%, the second straight month orders had fallen. On Wall Street, only two of the American sectors end higher, Telecommunications Services and Utilities. Leading the indexes lower were Industrials and Basic Materials.

Wednesday: A mixed day in the markets that saw the DJIA as the only index to end in the green. Lower US payroll, a slowing service sector, and slowing employment growth numbers suggest the Fed’s interest rate increases are beginning to dig in as the US economy slows. Fear of a recession is replacing the banking crisis as investors’ biggest concern. Oil prices fell victim to the poor economic news, as well.

In Canada, fresh off a 7-day winning streak, the TSX fell for the second straight day. In trading in the Canadian sectors, the defensive sectors Utilities and Telecommunications Services advanced the most, while the Technology and Industrials sectors had the biggest drops.

In America, both the S&P and the Nasdaq fell on lower-than-expected economic data. The news has investors on edge as they are concerned that the Fed might raise rates again which could push the US economy into a recession. In the American sectors, Utilities and Healthcare had the biggest gains, while Consumer Cyclicals and Technology declined the most.

Thursday: The short week comes to an end with all four indexes scratching out small gains as investors digested weak US labour data ahead of Friday’s US jobs report. On one hand, higher jobs could lead to the Fed increasing the US benchmark rate. On the other hand, a lower number of jobs could signal the world’s largest economy is heading towards a recession. Investors are hoping for a ‘just right’ number that will not prompt the Fed to act while not signalling a recession. Oil prices gave back at bit of gains as analysts believe a recession would lead to lower demand for oil, despite the production cutbacks announced by OPEC+ nations.

In Canada, the economy added 34,700 jobs and unemployment remained at record low levels for March. In the Canadian sectors, the Utilities and Industrials had the biggest gains, while the Energy and Telecommunications Services were the only two sectors to fall back.

In the US, unemployment benefits rose by 228,000 the previous week, suggesting a softening of the American labour market. In the American sectors, the Technology and Utilities sectors had the largest gains, while the Energy and Basic Materials sectors had the biggest drop.

Friday: All North American markets are closed for Good Friday.


Weekly Market and Portfolio Review

For the week, the TSX (SPTSX) added 0.5%, the S&P 500 (SPX) declined 0.1%, the DJIA (INDU) gained 0.6% and the Nasdaq (CCMP) fell 1.1%.

Bearish marketIt was a mixed bag for the four major North American indexes this past week, with the more growth-oriented S&P and Nasdaq both ending lower while the more traditional TSX and DJIA both posted modest gains. An unexpected cut to global oil production sent the indexes higher, especially the TSX and DJIA. Weak US economic news caused the indexes to fall as investors feared the US economy could be headed for a recession. With the threat of a recession on the horizon, the price of oil dropped as a recession meant there would be less demand for oil. Finally, the indexes drifted higher thanks to a late rally in the big technology companies, sending investors off for the Easter weekend cautiously upbeat.

In an unusual occurrence, the North American stock markets were closed for Good Friday but not the US government. As a result, the much anticipated (at least by economists and investors) US jobs report was released but the markets were closed, leaving investors three days to consider the data before they can react to the information.

Bearish market

If it was a mixed bag for the indexes and Nasdaq was one of the indexes that declined, it was unlikely to be a good week for the three Portfolios. It was definitely not a good week for Portfolios 1 and 3 thanks to TD Bank (TSX: TD) and its planned acquisition of US regional bank First Horizon Corporation (NYSE: FHN). TD’s share price is under pressure from short sellers who think TD could be adversely affected by their exposure to US regional banks, where the recent bank crisis originated. Portfolio 2 was the best of a bad lot, a solid week from Microsoft (NASD: MSFT) was not enough to offset the overall decline in technology companies.

Weekly Portfolio & Index performance
Weekly Portfolio & Index performance for the week ended April 7, 2023.

Companies on the Radar

Stocks on my Radar No new companies came across my radar this past week. After running Amphenol (NYSE: APH) through the Quick Test, I added it to the existing companies on my radar. Amphenol and Hammond Power Solutions sound similar so it will be interesting to see how they compare. For now, the radar list consists of:

  • Intact Financial (TSX: IFC): A Canadian mid size insurance company supplying home, car and business insurance in Canada, the US, and the UK.
  • Vale (NYSE: VALE): A global mining company that extracts various metals and rare earth elements such as nickel, cobalt, gold, copper, that are used in electric vehicles.
  • Hammond Power Solutions (TSX: HPS.A): A small cap Canadian company manufacturing transformers used throughout the world in a wide variety of industries.
  • Supremex (TSX: SXP): A small cap company selling packing solutions throughout Canada and the USA.
  • Amphenol: Producer of a high-tech interconnect, sensor, and antenna solutions for the automotive, aerospace, industrial and various technology industries.
  • Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO): A small cap Canadian copper mining company with mines in Brazil.
  • Smartcentres Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: SRU.UN): Owns and manages a number of income producing malls and retails spaces throughout Canada.

The Radar Check was last updated April 6, 2023.

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Portfolio Update

Portfolio 1

Portfolio 1 for the week ended April 7, 2023: DOWN Red Down Arrow

  • Tesla (NASD: TSLA) saw electric vehicle sales rise 4% in the first quarter 2023 over the previous quarter. Its great that Tesla continues to grow their sales, but one must wonder what the price cuts of up to 20% on some models have done to their profit margins.
  • Rivian (NASD: RIVN) delivered over 7,900 vehicles in the first quarter, beating estimate of 7,090 deliveries. Unfortunately, production was 600+ units below the 10,000 estimated. Rivian needs to get their pickups and SUV into the market before competition from Ford (NYSE: F), GM (NYSE: GM) and Tesla heats up. Rivian does not want to get in a price war with its deep pocketed competitors.
  • General Motors moved closer to its target of US$2 billion cost savings as 5,000 GM workers took buyouts. On a positive note, GM grew first quarter deliveries by 17.6% on an annual basis. All four GM brands saw growth, led by Buick which saw an increase of 99.2%. GM expects to produce 150,000 electric vehicles in 2023 for the North American market, with a target of one million EVs for 2025.
  • Rogers (TSX: RCI.B) closed their merger with Shaw (TSX: SJR.B). At the same time Quebecor (TSX: QBR.B) closed their acquisition of Freedom Mobile from Shaw.
  • Britain’s Competition and Markets Authority will take a closer look at Amazon’s (NASD: AMZN) acquisition of iRobot Corp (NASD: IRBT) to determine what impact the deal will have on the smart devices market. The deal is already under investigation by the US Federal Trade Commission.
  • The US environmental Protection Agency is set to announce big cuts to vehicle emissions that will spur the conversion to electric vehicles (EV). This is good news for EV manufacturers such as GM, Tesla, and Rivian.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Telus Corp (TSX: T)

Cargojet Inc (TSX: CJT)

US $

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd (NYSE: ZIM)

Quarterly Reports

No quarterly reports this past week.

Portfolio 2

Portfolio 2 for the week ended April 7, 2023: DOWN Red Down Arrow

  • Microsoft and Amazon are facing an antitrust investigation by the Ofcom, the British communications regulator. British officials are concerned the two market leaders are using their size and market dominance to create barriers to prevent users from switching to competitors.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (TSX: CNQ)

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (TSX: ATD)

Brookfield Renewable Partners LP (TSX: BEP.UN)

US $

No US$ dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

No quarterly reports this past week.

Portfolio 3

Portfolio 3 for the week ended April 7, 2023: DOWN Red Down Arrow

  • A few shareholders have suggested TD Bank should cancel or renegotiate its $13.4 billion acquisition of US regional bank First Horizon. The shareholders are pointing at the unknown risk in US regional banks that sparked the recent banking crisis. TD should be cautious about proceeding with the deal or even walking away and looking for a better deal now that prices for regional banks have fallen.
    The deal has also put TD Bank shares under pressure from short sellers after analysts expressed concern about TD’s exposure to US regional banks, particularly their purchase of First Horizon.
  • Magnite (NASD: MGNI) announced it opened a new office in Stockholm, which will operate as its base across Sweden, Denmark, Norway, and Finland. It is good to see Magnite has a enough business in northern Europe to open an office.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

No dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

No quarterly reports this past week.

 

Weekly Update for the week ending March 31, 2023

Items that may only interest or educate me ….

Canadian budget, Canadian GDP, US Economic data, latest Silicon Bank chapter, …


Prior to releasing the latest budget, the current Canadian government said they would be “fiscally responsible” while at the same time spending a whole lot of your taxpayer dollars on the new green economy (OK, that last part are my words). I did not think those two were compatible and it turns out I was right. The government increased this year’s deficit to C$40 billion and plans to run larger deficits every year until 2028 as the current government went all-in on spending and borrowing. Turns out “fiscally responsible” means something different to the government.


Statistics Canada reported Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the sum of all the goods and services produced in Canada, for January grew 0.5% on a monthly basis, a significant reversal after shrinking 0.1% in December. Analysts were expecting an increase of 0.4%. Preliminary data indicated the Canadian economy grew 0.3% in February.

Analysts suggest the numbers indicate Canada’s GDP grew at an annual rate of 2.5% for the first quarter, well above the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) 0.5% estimate. The data implies the Canadian economy is performing better than expected. While this is good news on one level, the strong economic growth could stop the downward trend of Canadian inflation. The BoC will be paying close attention to upcoming economic data to see if any action on their part is required at their next meeting April 12.


The US Commerce Department reported the fourth-quarter GDP was 2.6%, down slightly from the previous estimate of 2.7%. With 3.2% growth in the third quarter, the data suggests the US economy is slowing down. As well, more than 50% of the fourth quarter’s growth came from companies restocking their inventories rather than meeting consumer demand. Based on the data, it would appear the underlying economic growth is slowing because of the higher interest rates.

The US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) for February, gained 0.3%, down from January’s 0.6% increase. On an annual basis, the PCE rose 5.0%, down from January’s 5.3% increase. Core PCE rose 0.3% down from January’s 0.5%, and 4.6% on a yearly basis, basically inline with analysts’ expectations of 0.4% and 4.7%, respectively.

Taken together, both of these bits of information suggest the higher interest rates are slowing both consumer spending and the US economy, which should to a drop in inflation. Hopefully, the Fed is satisfied with the latest economic data to pause interest rates to let the previous rate hikes continue to work their way through the economy before taking any action.


First Citizens BancShares (NASD: FCNCA), a North Carolina regional bank, bought Silicon Valley Investment Bank’s (SIVB) deposits, loans, and 17 branches that reopened under the First Citizens Bancshares banner. The CEO of First Citizens said the purchase was designed to “instill confidence in the banking system.” The acquisition will nearly double the assets of First Citizens. Based on the huge jump in the share price, it also seemed to benefit First Citizens’ shareholders quite nicely.

To get the deal done, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) sold US$72 billion worth of SIVB loans to First Citizens at a discount of US$16.5 billion and agreed to share with First Citizens any losses or gains on those loans in the future. FDIC also provided a US$70 billion line of credit in the event of liquidity issues in exchange for up to US$500 million in First Citizens shares.

To backstop the purchase, rather than a government bailout, the FDIC took a hit of US$20 billion to its deposit insurance fund. The remaining US$90 billion of SIVB’s assets, mainly low yielding assets, remain with the FDIC until they can find a buyer.


Now, let’s see what happened this past week….

Weekly Market Review

Monday: The last week of the first quarter got off to a mixed start with three of the four major North American indexes advancing. Shares of banks in Canada and the US rose on the news that First Citizens Bank bought the loans and assets of SIVB, calming investors concerns about the banking crisis. Easing concerns about the financial crisis, in combination with news Iraq halted oil exports, pushed the price of oil up 5%.

In Canada, the Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index (TSX) was buoyed by the higher oil prices and bank stocks. On Bay Street, the home of the TSX, Consumer Staples and Energy sectors gained the most. Telecommunications Services was the only Canadian sector to end the day lower.

In the US, the S&P 500 Index (S&P) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) both ended the day higher, while the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) fell on weakness in the Technology sector. On Wall Street, home of the American financial markets, the Energy and Financials sectors advanced the most while the Technology sector was the only American sector to end lower.

Tuesday: Another mixed day for the four indexes, this time the TSX advanced and the American indexes stumbled. After a surge in bank stocks yesterday, especially American banks, the banking sector gave back some of those gains.

In Canada, money was moving back into Mining companies as the Basic Materials (miners and fertilizer manufacturers) was the biggest gainer of the Canadian sectors, followed by the Consumer Staples and Energy sectors. Meanwhile, the Technology and Healthcare sectors dropped the most.

In the US, profit taking in the technology sector and concerns about risk management by bank executives caused all three indexes to sink. On a positive note, despite the ongoing banking crisis, American consumer confidence rebounded after dropping in February. In trading in the American sectors, Energy and Basic Materials advanced the most, while the Healthcare and Technology sectors dropped the most.

Wednesday: The day started sharply higher for all four indexes, and they remained high for the rest of the day. In a case of no news is good news, there was no banking news to rattle the market today. It seems banking sector fears are fading. With one eye on the Fed for signs what they will do at their next meeting in May, investors cautiously moved back into growth-oriented sectors in both countries.

In Canada, the TSX stretched its winning streak to four days as all the Canadian sectors finished higher. Leading the way were the growth-oriented Technology and Consumer Cyclicals sectors, while Telecommunications Services and Basic Materials trailed the pack.

In America, the Nasdaq ended the day on a promising note, up 20% since December. A gain of 20% or more means the Nasdaq is in a bull market. Let us hope this young bull is long lived. 😊 In trading, all the American S&P sectors finished in the green today, led by Technology and Consumer Cyclicals sectors. Healthcare and Consumer Staples brought up the rear.

Thursday: It appears investors want to end the first quarter on an uptrend as all four indexes once again ended the day higher. Professional money managers want their portfolios to look good for the quarterly reviews with their clients, so they unload losers and add to their winners. With no banking problems this week, investors are starting to feel the banking crisis is largely behind us.

In Canada, the beat goes on for the TSX as it runs its winning streak to five days. In the Canadian sectors it was a day of broad based gains as all sectors ended higher. The defensive sectors Utilities and Consumer Staples led the way, with Healthcare and Energy bringing up the rear.

In the US, the bull run in the Nasdaq continued as investors continue to move into technology companies. On a sobering note, the Fed said it was open to another interest rate hike if inflation doesn’t continue to fall. In trading, all American sectors ended in the green, led by the Basic Materials and Technology sectors. The Financials and Healthcare sectors rounded out a positive day in the American markets.

Friday: All four indexes ended higher on the last day of the week, month, and quarter. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data indicated US inflation continues to cool, leading investors to believe the Fed will be able to pause its interest rate hikes.

In Canada, the TSX stretched its winning streak to six. Statistics Canada data showed Canada’s economy did better than expected in January with signs of further growth in February. In trading, the Technology and the Consumer Cyclicals led the Canadian sectors higher, while Telecommunications Services and Utilities were the only sectors to end lower.

In the US, all three indexes ended the day in the green as data showed US inflation was falling. The positive news was music to investors ears as it was a day of across the board gains for the American indexes. The rally was led by the growth-oriented Consumer Cyclicals and Technology sectors while the Telecommunications Services and Energy stocks brought up the rear.


Weekly Portfolio Review

For the week, the TSX (SPTSX) added 3.1%, the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 3.5%, the DJIA (INDU) grew 3.2% and the Nasdaq (CCMP) rose 3.4%.

Bull market. A good week for the North American stock markets.After the previous two weeks, this past week was relatively calm. No banks collapsed, the financial stocks rebounded, oil prices climbed for the second week in a row and investor optimism returned. There wasn’t any significant bad news to upset investors. Overall, a fairly good week to end the month on an upbeat note, as shown in the chart above.

Another good week for the indexes usually means another good week for the Portfolios. And it was as they each benefited from the rise in technology companies primarily found on the Nasdaq. Unfortunately, none of the portfolios gained as much as the lowest index, as shown below. After 2022, any time all three portfolios advance, is a good week. 😊

Weekly Portfolio & Index performance
Weekly Portfolio & Index performance for the week ended March 31, 2023.

Monthly Portfolio Review

For March, the TSX (SPTSX) dropped 0.6%, the S&P 500 (SPX) advanced 3.5%, the DJIA (INDU) added 1.9% and the Nasdaq (CCMP) gained 6.7%.

Bull market. A good week for the North American stock markets.


As shown in the chart above, March got off to a rough start due to a selloff in bank stocks caused by the unfolding global banking crisis, and oil price volatility. As the month wound down, with the bank crisis fading, inflation down slightly and investors believing the Fed may pause their interest rate hikes, investors responded by sending all four indexes higher. The three American indexes benefitted from the rotation of money from bank stocks into the big technology companies, especially the Nasdaq, and were able to post solid gains for March.

Canada’s TSX did not benefit from the rotation to big technology companies as much as the American indexes because it is heavily weighted with bank and energy companies (47%), two of the sectors most impacted by the bank crisis. As a result, the TSX took longer to reverse its downward trend and was unable to climb get back into positive territory like the American indexes.

The portfolios rebounded nicely after stumbling in February. The rise of the big tech companies was the big driver for all three portfolios, especially Portfolio 1 which contains Alphabet (NASD: GOOGL), Amazon (NASD: AMZN), Apple (NASD: AAPL) and Nvidia (NASD: NVDA). Portfolio 1 has now advanced every month in 2023. After stumbling in February, it was good to see Portfolios 2 and 3 back in the win column. Both benefitted from owning shares in Microsoft (NASD: MSFT), as well as other technology companies.

Monthly Portfolio & Index performance
Monthly Portfolio & Index performance for March 2023.

Companies on the Radar

Stocks on my Radar This past week one new company popped up on my radar: Amphenol (NYSE: APH). This company produces a wide variety of high-technology interconnect, sensor, and antenna solutions for the automotive, aerospace, industrial and various technology industries. The company is in several industries, providing great optionality, and should be able to ride the tailwinds of EV and digital revolution.

  • Intact Financial (TSX: IFC): A Canadian mid size insurance company supplying home, car and business insurance in Canada, the US, and the UK.
  • Vale (NYSE: VALE): A global mining company that extracts various metals and rare earth elements such as nickel, cobalt, gold, copper, that are used in electric vehicles.
  • Supremex (TSX: SXP): A small cap company selling packing solutions throughout Canada and the USA.
  • Hammond Power Solutions (TSX: HPS.A): A small cap Canadian company manufacturing transformers used throughout the world in a wide variety of industries.
  • Smartcentres Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: SRU.UN): Owns and manages a number of income producing malls and retails spaces throughout Canada.
  • Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO): A small cap Canadian copper mining company with mines in Brazil.

The Radar Check was last updated March 31, 2022.

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Portfolio Update

Portfolio 1

Portfolio 1 for the week ended March 31, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • Tesla (NASD: TSLA) is back in court. This time to determine the size of the payment Tesla must pay in a workplace discrimination case. Tesla lost the case and was ordered to pay the plaintiff US$137 million but the amount was cut to US$15 million by the judge.
  • Apple released it’s Apple Pay Later service to compete in the lucrative ‘Buy Now Pay Later’ (BNPL) financial technology arena. Using the service, users can divide payments into four payments over six weeks, with no interest or fees; users can apply for loans of $50 to $,1000 for online and in app purchases from within their iPhone or iPad (merchants must accept Apple Pay). Because of Apple’s size, reputation and ease of use, look for them to take market share from many of the smaller companies in the financial technology industry.
    Apple won a 13-year battle with VirnetX Holding Corp (NYSE: VHC), a patent licensing company. The two companies were battling over two virtual private network patents that VirnetX accused Apple of infringing upon. This past week the US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit affirmed a decision from the US Patent and Trademark Office that VirnetX’s two patents were invalid because earlier publications described the inventions VirnetX claimed were theirs.
  • The merger of Rogers Communications (TSX: RCI.B) and Shaw Communications (TSX: SJR.B) has finally been approved. The deal will see Rogers receive the bulk of Shaw’s assets for C$26 billion. Part of the deal is the sale of Shaw’s Freedom Mobile licences to Quebecor’s (TSX: QBR.B) Videotron unit for C$2.85 billion. At the end of the day, there will be no more Shaw, and Videotron will become a national wireless provider. It is expected that Freedom Mobile customers will see a 20% reduction in their wireless bills. It does not say what will happen to Shaw Mobile customers (of which I am one) or their monthly bills.
  • Telus (TSX: T) was named best Canadian major mobile carrier in PC Magazines’ first ever Canadian Readers’ Choice Awards 2023 and Business Choice Awards 2023. Telus won the Top Major Carrier in Canada award in both the Readers’ Choice and Business Choice categories, as well as Top Digital Carrier in Canada for its Public Mobile brand.
  • Docebo (TSX: DCBO) was named one of The Americas’ Fastest Growing Companies 2023 by The Financial Times. Docebo ranked 201 out of 500 companies for the highest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenues between 2018 and 2021. Docebo was among the top five IT companies based in Canada, and sixth best for publicly traded companies in Canada.

Activity

Sold Viemed Healthcare (TSX: VMD). With the pandemic behind us, demand for respirators is slowing and the company is back to its pre-pandemic growth rate. The share price had recently risen considerably for no obvious reason, and I did not want to see it fall farther like has happened with a few other small cap companies I’ve owned.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Canadian National Railway Co (TSX: CNR)

Shaw Communications Inc (TSX: SJR.B)

US $

NVIDIA Corp (NASD: NVDA)

Quarterly Reports

No quarterly reports this past week.

Portfolio 2

Portfolio 2 for the week ended March 31, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS) started letting go over 7,000 employees as the company seeks to lower costs by US$5.5 billion and streamline its operations in order to make its streaming business profitable.
    Some of those employees let go was the Marvel Entertainment unit, including the head of the unit. The head of the unit recently backed an activist shareholder who was seeking a seat on Disney’s Board of Directors. Reminds me of the saying, “when you go for the king, you best not miss.” The Marvel Entertainment unit is separate from the movie making Marvel Studios, which was unaffected by the dismissal of the Entertainment unit. Other layoffs include several senior executives at Disney’s ABC News unit.
    In a bit of Disney magic, Disney effectively neutered the new special tax district board that oversees the Disney World area setup by the state of Florida. Before the new board took over from the ‘old’ board, the old board installed new covenants that prevented the ‘new’ board from using the Disney name and intellectual property and gave the company the right to review any proposed changes to properties in the special tax district. Well played, Mickey. Well played.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP (TSX: BIP.UN)

Brookfield Infrastructure Corp (TSX: BIPC)

US $

No US$ dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

No quarterly reports this past week.

Portfolio 3

Portfolio 3 for the week ended March 31, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • In a case of the kettle calling out the pot, Alphabet has asked the European Union antitrust regulators to take a closer look at the deals Microsoft has recently struck with European cloud vendors. Alphabet claims Microsoft is too dominant in the cloud services market. Alphabet seems to have forgotten it owns 94% of the search market, 80% of the online maps market, and nearly 25% of the global email provider market. Meanwhile, Microsoft owns 20% of the cloud services market. Hmmm.

Activity

Sold Viemed Healthcare. With the pandemic behind us, demand for respirators is slowing and the company is back to its pre-pandemic growth rate. The share price had recently risen considerably for no obvious reason, and I did not want to lock in the gains.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Brookfield Asset Management (TSX: BAM)

Brookfield Reinsurance Ltd (TSX: BNRE)

Brookfield Renewable Corp (TSX: BEPC)

US $

No US$ dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

No quarterly reports this past week.

 

Weekly Update for the week ending March 24, 2023

Items that may only interest or educate me ….

Canadian CPI and sales stats, US interest rate hike, Global central bank hikes, Credit Suisse, Global banking issues, Another online investing app …


Statistics Canada’s February Consumer Price Index report showed Canada’s annual inflation rate fell to 5.2% in February, down from January’s 5.9%. February’s rate is the lowest it has been since January 2022 and the biggest one-month slowdown in inflation since April 2020. On a monthly basis the inflation rate was 0.4%. Analysts had expected increases of 5.4% annually and 0.5% monthly.

Core CPI (CPI less food and energy) was 4.8% in February on an annual basis, down from January’s 4.9%. On a monthly basis, core CPI rose 0.4%, up from January’s 0.2% increase.

Another Statistics Canada report showed Canadian retail sales rose 1.4% in January from December, beating analysts’ expectations of 0.7%. Core retail sales (excludes gas stations, vehicles, and vehicle parts) rose by 0.5% in January. Doing quick math (confirmed by the report), fuel, vehicle and vehicle parts were the main drivers that drove retail sales higher. The report also said initial data for February showed spending fell by 0.6%, suggesting consumer demand may be starting to recede.

Data showing inflation is falling and retail sales are slowing is good news as far as the Bank of Canada (BoC) is concerned. If inflation keeps trending downward, the BoC is unlikely to raise the benchmark interest rate at their next meeting in April. Hopefully, the next time the BoC changes the rate it will be to lower the rate.

(Have you noticed there seems to be a ‘core’ for every measure)


Prior to two weeks ago when the first tremors of the banking crisis shook Silicon Valley Investment Bank (NASD:SIVB), analysts and investors were fearing a hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) would raise interest rates by 0.5%. However, the Fed had their wings clipped as the tremors took down SIVB, then Signature Bank of New York, and put other regional banks under stress. Fear of an aggressive increase were replaced with hopes of a pause, although the smart money remained on a 0.25% increase.

Despite the recent banking sector turmoil, in a unanimous decision, the Fed raised the US benchmark interest rate by 0.25%, crushing investors’ hopes of a pause. After the ninth consecutive increase, the interest rate now sits at 5%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested rate cuts were not in the picture until 2024 but hinted the Fed was getting close to a pause of future increases considering recent turmoil in the financial sector.

The Fed said an additional 0.25% increase might be required by the end of the year, but it was a notable break from previous statements of “ongoing increases.” The US bank crisis itself may act as a brake on the US economy as US banks grow more conservative with their loans and become steadily more reluctant to lend to businesses and households.


The Fed wasn’t the only central bank to raise its rates this past week.

  • The European Central Bank made its sixth consecutive increase, this time by 0.5%, bringing the rate to 3%. That is the highest it has been since October 2008.
  • The Bank of England raised rates by a further 0.25% despite a recent surge in British inflation.
  • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its rate by 0.5% in February, to a 14-year high of 4.75%.
  • Reserve Bank of Australia raised its key rate by a 0.25% to 3.6% in March, the highest since May 2012
  • Norway’s central bank hiked rates by 0.25% to 3% and signalled future increases were likely.
  • Sweden’s Riksbank raised its benchmark rate by 0.5% in February to 3% and hinted additional increases were coming.
  • With the Credit Suisse takeover lingering in the background, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) raised its key interest rate 0.5% to 1.5% and hinted future hikes were possible.

The BoC remains the only central bank not to raise its benchmark rate, keeping it at 4.5%. It plans to maintain the 4.5% rate as long as inflation in Canada continues to fall.


Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS), the 167-year-old Swiss bank, has agreed to an emergency takeover by Switzerland’s largest bank UBS (NYSE: UBS). The takeover was engineered by The Swiss National Bank (SNB), Switzerland’s central bank, to calm jitters in global banking, and to protect the Swiss economy.

UBS will pay US$3.3 billion for CS, well below the bank’s market value of US$8 billion as of March 17. UBS also assumed US$5.4 billion of CS’s losses. As recently as the end of 2022 CS had $574 billion in total assets. Part of the deal includes the SNB lending up to US$108 billion, to help facilitate the takeover.

Letting CS fail was not an option. Although a disaster for the global banking system was avoided, for now, it dealt a serious blow to Switzerland’s reputation as a global financial center. With the addition of CS’s wealth management division, UBS now becomes the global leader in wealth management services for the rich. UBS will also take over CS’s domestic bank operations but said it would sell many of CS’s riskier ventures, bringing the new UBS in line with its conservative culture.

Credit Suisse’s downfall wasn’t sudden like Silicon Valley Bank, rather, it was the culmination of years of mismanagement, scandals, and a critical data breach. In 2022, the amount of their deposits fell by 40%, their total assets dropped 30%, and the bank lost roughly $8 billion. The collapse of SIVB was the spark that started the end of CS.

While the global banking system may rest easier thanks to UBS acquiring CS, one group that is not happy are holders of CS Additional Tier-one bonds (AT1). Typically, when a bank reaches the point of “non-viability”, common shareholders of the bank are the first to suffer losses, not bondholders. As part of the deal, CS AT1 bond holders had their US$17 billion worth of bonds wiped out and are now worth $0.


Banking issues continued to rattle the global markets last week. This time it was European banks stealing the spotlight from US regional banks:

  • Switzerland’s UBS and Credit Suisse are among the banks under scrutiny by the US Department of Justice to see if they helped Russian oligarchs evade sanctions.
  • Germany’s Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) became the biggest loser on the European STOXX 600 index thanks to a significant increase in the cost of insuring against the risk of default.
  • The European Central Bank is pressuring Austria’s Raiffeisen Bank International to sell its highly profitable Russian operations.

So far, Canada has managed to avoid the banking crisis that has plagued the US, and now Europe. Still, Canada’s big six banks have not escaped unscathed. Together they have lost over C$57 billion in market capitalization.

One reason the Canadian banks have avoided the banking crisis is the Canadian banking industry is more strictly regulated than the US. There is much less risk of a Canadian bank getting into the kind of trouble that caused runs on the cash reserves of American regional banks. Individually, each of the big six Canadian banks – Royal Bank of Canada (TSX: RY), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX: TD), Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX: BNS), Bank of Montreal (TSX: BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX: CM), and National Bank of Canada (TSX: NA) – themselves have a broad base of clients that provide diversification, ample liquidity and manageable credit risks. In addition, each bank is geographically diversified, and not highly concentrated in riskier (such as technology) or cyclical (such as oil) industries.


A few weeks ago, I opened a TD Easy Trade account for each of the three Portfolios. Each account comes with 50 free trades (Buy or Sell) per year and there is no cost to transfer cash or shares between TD Easy Trade and TD Direct Investing. Easy Trade had a promotion that if you opened an account by February 28 and had a total of C$500 or more in cash and/or shares in the account by April 30, TD would give you $100.

At this point my experience with Easy Trade has been limited to transferring in cash and shares. You must call Easy Trade to perform these transactions, but they plan to enable do-it-yourself transfers via the TD Easy Trade app in the near future. I’ve spoken with Easy Trade support a few times and its cumbersome to talk to an agent because you have to be manually authenticated, whereas Direct Investing uses the TD smartphone app to automatically authenticate you when you call in. Easy Trade plans to adopt the same authentication process used by Direct Investing in the future.

TD’s Direct Investing platform is still my primary and preferred online trading platform but I’m happy to save the C$9.99 commission each time I make a transaction. As a bonus, TD is paying me C$100 to save those expenses! 😊


Let’s see what happened this past week….

Weekly Market Review

Monday: All four major North American stock indexes ended the day higher after the Swiss bank USB agreed to purchase its Swiss competitor Credit Suisse. The deal calmed the markets, as investors prepared for the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest interest rate decision. Oil prices also rose as fears of a financial crises subsided.

In Canada, the Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index (TSX) was lifted higher by a rebound in Canadian bank shares and a surge in oil prices that rose off a 15-month low. In the Canadian sectors, the Energy and Telecommunications had the biggest gains, while Healthcare, Utilities and Technology were the only sectors to end lower.

In the US, all three American indexes – the S&P 500 Index (S&P), the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) – ended solidly in the green. Stability in the financial system and hopes for a 0.25% hike in the interest rate brought investors back into the markets. In the American markets it was a broad-based rally with all American sectors advancing. Basic Materials (miners and fertilizer companies) and Energy were the biggest winners while Technology and Consumer Cyclicals brought up the rear.

Tuesday: All four indexes continued to rise as ongoing American and European central bank efforts continue to stabilize the global banking system. With the banking crisis looking to be under control, investors expect an increase of 0.25% to the US interest rate at tomorrow’s Fed meeting.

In Canada, financial companies and energy companies continue to rally as investors slowly regain confidence in the global banking system. As well, Canada’s CPI showed inflation fell more than expected in February to 5.2% on an annual basis. The BoC decision to pause interest rate increases is looking good at this point. The top gainers in the Canadian sectors were Energy and Technology, while the defensive sectors Utilities and Consumer Staples fell the most.

In the US, investors lost their fear of bank stocks in a big way as all three US indexes posted solid gains. Leading into the Fed’s next rate announcement, it was another widespread day of advances in the American sectors. Energy and Financials advanced the most, while the defensive Utilities sectors was the only sector to end the day in the red.

Wednesday: All four indexes were flat for most of the day before the Fed’s announcement of a 0.25% increase to the key US interest rate sent all four slightly higher. However, when the head of the US Treasury told Congress she had ruled out blanket protection for all deposits, all four indexes fell sharply into the red.

In Canada, the TSX looked set to post a daily gain until the Fed and Treasury department announcements, then it dropped sharply to end the day in the red. In the Canadian sectors, only the Basic Materials and Consumer Staples advanced while Healthcare and Technology were the big losers on the day.

In the US, the US interest rate is now at 5.0%, its highest point since 2007. Lingering concern about regional banks led to a drop in both regional and large bank shares, pushing the Financials sector lower. With all three indexes falling over 1.6% for the day, its no surprise every American sector ended lower. The Consumer Staples and Telecommunications dropped the least while Financials and Consumer Cyclicals lost the most.

Thursday: A yo-yo day for the four indexes today. A strong start in the morning, followed by a sharp drop into the red in afternoon trading before a late rally saw the three American indexes cross back into the green. Investors were digesting the latest US interest rate hike and concerns about the US banking system persisted. The price of oil dropped after the US Energy Department said it may take years to replenish the US’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

In Canada, the TSX ended in the red, dragged down by the US banking crisis even though Canadian banks have very little to do with US regional banks. Energy companies also saw their share prices drop on the oil news out of the US. In trading, of the Canadian sectors, Technology and Basic Materials gained the most while Energy and Utilities fell the most.

In the US, the three American indexes were able to notch gains after the head of the US Treasury walked back yesterday’s statement and reassured Congress that they that will keep depositors’ money safe. On Wall Street, the American Technology and Healthcare sectors led the way higher, while the Energy and Financials sectors dropped the most.

Friday: The markets took a deep dive to start the day, but all four indexes were able claw back into positive territory by the end of the day. Investors were able to overcome banking concerns that continue to rattle the markets, this time with banking issues in Europe. Oil prices continued to drop after comments from the US Department of Energy led investors to believe there will be weaker demand for oil by the US government.

In Canada, the TSX broke into the green late in the afternoon as banking fears took a backseat to investor optimism that the Fed will pause interest rate hikes. In the Canadian sectors, defensive sectors Utilities and Consumer Staples advanced the most, while the growthier Consumer Cyclicals and Technology sectors were the only two sectors to end in the red.

In the US, banking concerns persist but a lot of money is flowing into the mega cap technology companies that are holding lots of cash on their Balance Sheet. The drawback is these big technology companies are overweighted in both the Nasdaq and S&P. They have become the primary drivers of the two indexes. In other words, it is a small number of companies that are pushing these two indexes higher rather than a broad rally. In the market, American defensive sectors Utilities and Consumer Staples posted the biggest gains for the day, while the Consumer Cyclical, Energy and Technology sectors were the only sectors that fell back.


For the week, the TSX broke a two-week losing streak advancing 0.6%, the S&P 500 gained 1.4%, the Dow rose 1.2% and the Nasdaq climbed 1.7%.

 Weekly Portfolio Review

Bull market. A good week for the North American stock markets.

As you can see from the chart above, it was a volatile week for the indexes. By the end of the week, the Fed and other central banks were able to calm investors’ fears about a potential liquidity crisis in the banking sector. As investors moved out of banks stocks, one of the places they placed their money was the mega cap technology companies – Alphabet (NASD: GOOGL), Amazon (NASD: AMZN), Apple (NASD: AAPL), Microsoft (NASD: MSFT) and Nvidia (NASD: NVDA). As you can see by the prefix of their trading symbols (NASD), they all trade on the Nasdaq Exchange, and therefore are part of the Nasdaq index. They are also members of the S&P due to their large market capitalization.

As well as calming words from the Fed, investors are optimistic that the Fed will pause their interest rate hikes given the banking crisis. The newfound optimism contributed to a late surge by each of the indexes, as can be seen in the chart above.

As for the Portfolios shown below, it was good to see two of the three portfolios advance this tumultuous past week. Portfolio 1 benefitted from owning four of the above mega cap technology companies, pushing well ahead of the other two portfolios. Portfolio 2 owns Microsoft but that was not enough to offset its larger proportion of Canadian banks. Portfolio 2 has a bigger percentage of bank companies than the other two portfolios. I am guessing the bank companies functioned as a drag on the portfolio and will continue to until the banking crisis fades away. As for Portfolio 3, Microsoft and Shopify (TSX: SHOP) had good weeks and easily offset the drag of the bank stocks in the portfolio.

Weekly Portfolio & Index performance
Weekly Portfolio & Index performance for the week ended March 24, 2023.

Companies on the Radar

Stocks on my Radar No new companies came on my radar this past week. That is somewhat of a relief as the list below is getting to be bigger than I would like. On a side note, the share price of Supremex (TSX: SXP) has fallen 32% since the company came on my radar. Sometimes procrastination is OK. 😊

  • Intact Financial (TSX: IFC): A Canadian mid size insurance company supplying home, car and business insurance in Canada, the US, and the UK.
  • Hammond Power Solutions (TSX: HPS.A): A small cap Canadian company manufacturing transformers used throughout the world in a wide variety of industries.
  • Supremex: A small cap company selling packing solutions throughout Canada and the USA.
  • Vale (NYSE: VALE): A global mining company that extracts various metals and rare earth elements such as nickel, cobalt, gold, copper, that are used in electric vehicles.
  • Smartcentres Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: SRU.UN): Owns and manages a number of income producing malls and retails spaces throughout Canada.
  • Airbnb (NASD: ABNB): An online platform allowing people to book private residences for short term stays.
  • Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO): A small cap Canadian copper mining company with mines in Brazil.

The Radar Check was last updated March 24, 2022.

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Portfolio Update

Portfolio 1

Portfolio 1 for the week ended March 24, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • Amazon announced another 9,000 employees will be let go, bringing the total of jobs eliminated to 27,000. This time the Amazon Web Services, human resources, advertising, and the Twitch livestreaming service divisions will bear the brunt of the layoffs. Amazon said uncertain economic times led them to trim costs and their headcount.
  • International Petroleum Corp (TSX: IPCO) gave the greenlight to phase 1 of its 30,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Blackrod thermal project in northern Alberta. IPCO became the first foreign oil company to start a new project in more than a decade.
  • Copperleaf Technologies (TSX: CPLF) was selected by Abbott Products Operations to help improve its investment planning process. The Copperleaf solution provides a streamlined approach that considers long term strategic planning when prioritizing its capital and production assets.
  • Like most every technology service, Nvidia is going to make artificial intelligence (AI) systems available via the cloud. It is hoped customers will flock to Nvidia’s AI cloud to incorporate AI into their businesses and help Nvidia continue to dominate the AI frontier.
  • Alphabet’s has opened their ChatGPT competitor Bard to the public. Currently the service is only available in the US and the United Kingdom (I can confirm its not available in Canada as of this writing). Will Bard be enough to lure back ChatGPT users?
  • Lattice Semiconductor (NASD: LSCC) announced it had won two Artificial Intelligence Excellence Awards from The Business Intelligence Group. The Awards go to organizations, products, and people who implement AI to solve real world problems.
  • Apple announced they plan to spend US$1 Billion per year to create movies that will be shown in theatres. I assume Apple is doing this to raise its profile and create content for its AppleTV streaming service.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Pulse Seismic Inc (TSX: PSD)

US $

Home Depot (NYSE: HD)

Skyworks Solutions Inc (NASD: SWKS)

Quarterly Reports

WELL Health Technologies Corp.

All currency listed in thousands of Canadian dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 21, 2023

  • Revenue of $156,513 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $115,680 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 35%.
  • Net income of $611 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net loss of $4,446 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.02 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a $0.05 loss per share for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $7569,136 for the year ended December 31, compared to $302,324 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 88%.
  • Net earnings of $18,675 for the year ended December 31, compared to net loss of $31,287 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.00 for the year ended December 31, compared to a $0.23 earning per share for the same period in 2021.

Copperleaf Technologies Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of Canadian dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 21, 2023

  • Revenue of $73,385 for the year ended December 31, compared to $69,283 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 6%.
  • Net loss of $28,202 for the year ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $6,524 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.41 for the year ended December 31, compared to a $0.24 loss per share for the same period in 2021.

Boston Omaha

All currency listed in US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 21, 2023

  • Revenue of $81,234,194 for the year ended December 31, compared to $56,971,811 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 88%.
  • Net earnings of $7,139,548 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $52,748,177 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.24 for the year ended December 31, compared to a $1.82 earning per share for the same period in 2021.

Portfolio 2

Portfolio 2 for the week ended March 24, 2023: DOWN Red Down Arrow

  • Telus (TSX: T) announced President and CEO Darren Entwistle purchased 150,400 additional Telus shares and now holds a total of 556,904 Telus common shares. Its always a good sign when the CEO invests his own money in the company.
  • Guardant Health (NASD: GH) is working with Ohio State University Cancer Center in a project to evaluate patient compliance with a blood-based test for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. The study will enroll roughly 300 people 45 years and older from minority and underserved populations who need colorectal cancer screening via mobile health clinics. Guardant hopes to show its by making it easy for individuals to perform the Shield test for colorectal cancer, more people will complete the screening test.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Dream Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: DIR.UN) DRIP

US $

No US$ dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

No quarterly reports this past week.

Portfolio 3

Portfolio 3 for the week ended March 24, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • Alvopetro Energy (TSXV: ALV) raised their quarterly dividend by 17% to US$0.14 per common share after reporting tremendous organic growth that saw their net income growth by 467%.
  • Recent data has shown that Microsoft’s (AI infused Bing search engine has caused a 15% surge in traffic to the Bing search page. The growth has come at the expense of Alphabet’s Google, the overwhelming market leader, which has seen a 1% decline in visits.
    Microsoft’s initial offer to ward off European Union antitrust concerns was rejected by four smaller European cloud rivals. The complainants allege Microsoft abuses it dominant market position by bundling its cloud storage offering with its Windows operating system.
    The United Kingdom’s competition regulator ruled Microsoft’s $69 billion purchase of Activision Blizzard (NASD: ATVI) would not harm competition in the gaming industry. This removes a major hurdle in the path of Microsoft’s acquisition of the gaming company.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

No dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 21, 2023

  • Revenue of $17,077 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $9,896 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 73%.
  • Net income of $5,191 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $2,778 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.14 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $0.08 earning per share for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $63,508 for the year ended December 31, compared to $31,980 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 82%.
  • Net earnings of $31,372 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $5,595 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.86 for the year ended December 31, compared to $0.16 earning per share for the same period in 2021.

 

Weekly Update for the week ending March 17, 2023

Items that may only interest or educate me ….


Breaking banks, Deposit insurance, US economic news, European interest rate hike, dividends are a good thing …

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) raised interest rates at the fastest pace in years. Last week the financial system cracked with the sudden and unexpected failures of the Silicon Valley Bank (NASD: SIVB) and Signature Bank (NYSE: SBNY). Things are starting to break. For more on the fall of the SIVB, read the post “48 hours: The Demise of a Bank”.

Despite US regulators doing their best to calm and stabilize the markets at the start of the week, problems at European bank Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) and First Republic Bank (NYSE: FRC) only served to bring jitters about the overall global financial system back to the surface. Famous investor Warren Buffet once said, “It’s only when the tide goes out that you learn who’s been swimming naked.” The tide is falling for the banking industry.

CS is a large Switzerland based bank that operates as a bank in Switzerland, while globally it provides wealth management, investment banking and asset management services. Its fall from grace was the result of several problems, exasperated by the current financial environment in the US. Scandals, huge losses, changes in leadership and an uninspiring recovery strategy all played a part in CS’s fall. A slow but steady withdrawal of 110 billion Swiss francs during the fourth quarter, combined with a loss of 7.29 billion Swiss francs didn’t help the bank’s liquidity issue or its reputation. When its largest lender was unable to help, Switzerland’s central bank stepped in to provide up to US$54 billion to improve CS’s liquidity and restore investor confidence. It remains to be seen if CS will pull through but a failure of one of the 30 ‘global systemically important banks’* would have a major impact on global financial system.

FRC’s problem had a similar liquidity problem but the trouble was caused by a run on its cash. The FRC is home to many high-net-worth clients who had deposits above the FDIC US$250,000 insurance limit. The wealthy clientele began shifting their money to larger, more stable banks. By midweek, their credit rating had been downgraded, accelerating the company’s share price drop off which had already lost 70% since the previous week, creating more panic. On Thursday, a group of big US banks deposited US$30 billion at FRC, where it will remain for at least 4 months.

Because banks are so interconnected, the failure of two major regional banks since March 10 threatens to erode investor and consumer confidence to a degree that could spiral in unexpected ways. The Fed now must consider the impact of further interest rate hikes on the stability of the American and global financial systems.

SIVB update: US Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) is seeking Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection for SIVB while it looks sell off SIVB’s assets. In Canada, SIVB was taken over by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions and all of the Canadian assets will be transitioned to a temporary ‘bridge bank’ in the US, setup by the FDIC.

If you own shares in one of Canada’s big 5 banks, you should be fine other than a dip in share price (also known as a buying opportunity 😊). Same goes for investors in the big US banks. If you own shares in one or more of the smaller regional banks you are in for a wild ride until this banking crisis settles.

Status of banks in the news this past week:

  • Silvergate Bank (NYSE: SI) – closed, voluntarily liquidated its assets.
  • Silicon Valley Bank – closed, seeking Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection while it attempts to sell its assets.
  • Signature Bank – closed, FDIC looking for a buyer.
  • Credit Suisse – saved by a credit line of up to US$54 billion from Swiss National Bank, Switzerland’s central bank.
  • First Republic Bank – saved by US$30 billion cash deposit by a group of large US banks.
  • PacWest Bancorp Corp (NASD: PACW) – in talks with investment firms to improve its liquidity.

Is this the end of it or the tip of the iceberg?

* Globally systemic banks: banks that are considered to be critical to the global financial system due to their size, interconnectedness, complexity, and potential impact on the economy if they were to fail.


In the above section you may have noticed American depositors are insured up to US$250,000. Did you know bank accounts in Canada are insured by the Canada Deposit Insurance Corp (CDIC)? And were you aware those accounts are insured for up to C$100,000 per insured category of deposit (for example, savings, chequing, term deposits, TFSA, RRSP, etc.), at each CDIC member institution? Check out the CDIC to see if your financial institution is a member of the CDIC, and what is covered and what is not.


The latest US Labor Department report showed the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 6.0% in February on a year over year basis, down from January’s 6.4%. February’s gain was the smallest on a yearly basis since September 2021. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.4% last month, down from 0.5% in January. Analysts had been expecting 6% and 0.4%, respectively. The Core CPI (CPI without the food and energy components) increased 5.5% year over year, down from January’s 5.6%. That was the smallest core CPI increase on a yearly basis since December 2021. On a monthly basis, core CPI rose 0.5%, up slightly from January’s 0.4% increase. Analysts had been expecting 5.5% and 0.4%, respectively.

The US Commerce Department reported February retail sales fell 0.4% from January but were up 5.4% from February 2022. Analysts were expecting a decline of 0.3% from January.

The February Producer Price Index (PPI), what suppliers sell to businesses, unexpectedly fell 0.1% from January. On a yearly basis, the PPI rose 4.6%. Analysts had expected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a yearly increase of 5.4%. Core PPI (PPI less food, energy, and trade) grew 0.2% on a monthly basis and increased 4.4% on a yearly basis. Analysts had been expecting, 0.3% and 5.2%, respectively. On an annual basis, the PPI and core PPI were the lowest in over a year.

The Fed was going to hike interest rates by at least 0.25% at their meeting next week. Then Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed. Now the Fed must decide which is more important, getting inflation down to its 2% target or ensuring stability in the financial markets.


The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its benchmark rate by a surprising 0.5%, analysts and investors had a expected a 0.25% increase given the current banking situation. The larger than expected increase signalled getting inflation down was their top priority. However, they also stated they were keeping an eye on the situation and were prepared to act quickly to maintain price and financial stability in the European Union.

The Fed’s in a mandatory blackout period, which means the members are restricted from making public statements, speeches, comments to the media or to financial analysts regarding monetary policy (interest rates). The blackout begins two weeks prior to the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting and ends at the conclusion of the meeting. In other words, Fed officials aren’t talking so investors do not know what they are thinking. Despite the sudden bank failures of the last few days, the Fed is still expected to raise interest rates at its March 21-22 meeting.

Hopefully the Fed doesn’t follow the ECB’s lead with an aggressive 0.5% hike.


Previously I wrote about how share buybacks were investor friendly. This week let’s take a look at another shareholder friendly action – dividends.

A dividend is when a company pays out a percentage of their profits to shareholders. Typically, dividends are paid out quarterly, but they can also be paid monthly or other regular intervals. Some companies will even pay out special dividends when they have excess profits. In the last few years oil companies were generating windfall profits and they shared these profits with shareholders in the form of special one-time dividends, on top of their regular dividends.

Another nice thing about dividends is that they tend to increase as the company grows and generates increasing profits. On the flip side, if the company suffers a setback they may cut or eliminate their dividend altogether. This was the case with Chorus Aviation (TSX: CHR). When the Covid-19 pandemic struck in March 2020, they eliminated their quarterly dividend and have yet to restart it.

For me, the ideal dividend end company is a growing company with a rising share price and increasing dividend payments.


Now, let’s see what happened this past week….

Weekly Market Review

Monday: Ahead of this week’s US CPI report, investors are nervous following the collapse of two US regional banks. The four major North American indexes went for quite the ride Monday before ending the day largely where they started. A lot of the excitement was due to the sharp decline in bank stocks. Investors throughout the world unloaded bank shares on fears their banks could be in a similar situation or had exposure to the two American banks that collapsed.

In Canada, the Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index (TSX) was caught in the global banking downdraft. Oil prices also fell on concerns a financial crash would cause people to cut back on spending, leading to lower energy demand. On the day, the best performing Canadian sectors were Basic Materials (mining companies and fertilizer manufacturers) and Utilities, while the Energy and Financials sector lost the most.

In the US, the indexes spent most of the day in the green before the S&P 500 Index (S&P) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped into the red. The Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) was able to end in the green thanks to investor expectations the Fed will not make a larger rate hike next week in lieu of the SIVB collapse. In trading, the defensive Utilities sector led a group of four sectors higher. Unsurprisingly, the Financials and the Energy sectors dropped the most, both ending down more than 2%.

Tuesday: It was a bit of a bounce back day as all four indexes finished the day higher. Today’s US CPI data came in at 6% and core CPI increased 5.5%, both on a yearly basis. Both matched forecasts. Investors seem to have absorbed the banking events of the past few days and are now expecting the Fed to raise the US interest rate by 0.25%, with an optimistic few hoping for a pause considering the stress past hikes have put on the US financial system.

In Canada, the Financials sector rebounded from yesterday’s decline. The Technology and Basic Materials sectors led Canadian sectors, while the Energy and Telecommunications Services sectors were the only two sectors to end lower.

In the US, the smaller regional banks bounced back as fears of a banking crisis faded. As well, the CPI data indicated inflation continues to cool. Investors reacted to the good news by sending the three US indexes sharply higher. In trading, all American sectors ended higher, led by the Technology and Financials sectors, with Energy and Consumer Staples bringing up the rear.

Wednesday: All four indexes tumbled lower before trimming losses in a late afternoon rally. Only the Nasdaq was able to inch into positive territory. European bank Credit Suisse caused fresh banking concerns when it reported it had identified “material weaknesses” in its financial reporting controls. Investors pummeled the share price, sending its US listed shares to a record low. Separately, US economic data showed US inflation was slowly falling but not enough to avoid at least one more interest rate hike. Oil prices dropped sharply as banking concerns continue to rattle the market along with fears of what another interest rate increase would do to the global economy.

In Canada, the TSX has its worst day since October 2022, pulled lower by the ongoing weakness in the global financial sector. In trading, of the Canadian sectors, the defensive sectors Consumer Staples and Utilities gained the most, while Energy and Basic Materials lost the most.

In the US, the February retail sales fell 0.4% and the PPI dropped 0.1% since January. On a yearly basis, both were up 5.4% and 4.6%, respectively. With the monthly drops, investors are hoping the Fed would leave the interest rate unchanged. In trading, of the American sectors, only the defensive Utilities and Consumer Staples sectors ended in positive territory. Energy and Basic Materials dropped the most.

Thursday: The market got off on the wrong foot when the European Central Bank raised its benchmark rate by a surprising 0.5%. What looked like another decline took a turn for the better when a group of American banks joined together to deposit US$30 billion into First Republic which had been teetering on the edge of collapse. The influx of cash stabilized the bank and calmed depositors and investors, starting a strong rally in all four indexes.

In Canada, the TSX was lifted into positive territory on the news banking crisis in the US had been averted, in the short term anyway. In trading, Industrials and Consumer Cyclicals led the pack of Canadian sectors. Consumer Staples was the only sector to end the day in the red.

In the US, the American indexes rebounded strongly from yesterday’s losses when the larger US banks stepped up to stabilize Federal Bank, and by extension the US banking system. The technology sector had a big rally, leading the Nasdaq to its best single day in over a year. On Wall Street, Technology and Consumer Cyclicals shone the brightest of the American sectors. The only sector to lose ground was Telecommunications Services.

Friday: The wild ride of the banking industry continued today, with all four indexes ending the day solidly in the red. Losses in the North American banking industry and fears of a recession continued to drag the markets lower.

In Canada, the TSX is heavily exposed to Financials and Energy (both sectors tend to fall during a recession) so its not surprising with fears of a looming recession that the TSX experienced another losing session. In the Canadian market, Basic Materials, Utilities and Telecommunications Services were the only sectors to advance. Of those that declined, Financials and Industrials dropped the most.

In the US, the banking crisis continued, which increases the chance of a recession. Ahead of the Fed’s meeting next week, investors now are expecting a 0.25% rate hike but hoping for no rate change. In the American markets it was not a good day, with all sectors ending lower. The Technology and Telecommunications Services sector were the best of the bad lot, dropping the least, while Financials and Industrials dropped the most.


For the week, the TSX dropped 2.0%, the S&P 500 advanced 1.4%, the DJIA fell 0.1% and the Nasdaq grew 4.4%.

Weekly Portfolio Review

Bull market. A good week for the North American stock markets.

Given all the sky is falling chatter about the US banking system, and by extension, the global financial system, I was surprised to see the Nasdaq and S&P end the week higher (as shown in the chart above). I thought the Financials sector in both countries would drag all four indexes lower but the technology heavy Nasdaq and S&P received a nice little boost from investors who decided to park their cash in the big technology companies. As a result, the Nasdaq and S&P made it into positive territory for the week. How good was the week for big tech? Microsoft had its best week in almost eight years. 😊

The Financials sector did drag the DJIA and TSX lower. For the DJIA, four of the thirty companies are in the Financials sector. However, Microsoft (NASD: MSFT) is also a DJIA member and I suspect its banner week helped limit the fall. On the TSX, the Financials and Energy sectors combine to make up 49% of the index. Both sectors had a bad week, causing the TSX to end the week in the red.

The Portfolios benefitted from the Nasdaq’s strong week. Each portfolio has at least one big-tech company. Portfolio 1 contains four of them – Alphabet (NASD: GOOGL), Amazon (NASD: AMZN), Apple (NASD: AAPL), and Nvidia (NASD: NVDA) – which helped the portfolio gain 3%. Portfolios 2 and 3 both contain Microsoft, which helped them each outperform all of the indexes except the Nasdaq. Any week where all three Portfolios advance is a good week, but it would be better without the drama of a banking crisis. 😊

Weekly Portfolio & Index performance
Weekly Portfolio & Index performance for the week ended March 17, 2023.

Companies on the Radar

Stocks on my Radar

Only one new company came onto my radar this past week – Ero Copper Corp. (TSX: ERO). A small cap Canadian copper mining company with mines in Brazil. It also owns a smaller gold and silver mine in Brazil. I have been considering a mining company for a while now because there is a growing demand for these metals in electric vehicle (EV) manufacturing, the renewables sector and industry in general. Copper, in particular, is used extensively in EV motors, wind turbines, solar panels as well as electrical components, industrial machinery, medical equipment, wiring/cabling, and plumbing equipment.

  • Intact Financial (TSX: IFC): A mid size insurance company supplying home, car and business insurance in Canada, the US, and the UK.
  • Hammond Power Solutions (TSX: HPS.A): A Canadian company manufacturing transformers used throughout the world in a wide variety of industries.
  • Supremex (TSX: SXP): A small cap company selling packing solutions throughout Canada and the USA.
  • Vale (NYSE: VALE): A global mining company that extracts various metals and rare earth elements such as nickel, cobalt, gold, copper, that are used in electric vehicles.
  • Smartcentres Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: SRU.UN): Owns and manages a number of income producing malls and retails spaces throughout Canada.
  • Airbnb (NASD: ABNB): An online platform allowing people to book private residences for short term stays.

The Radar Check was last updated March 17, 2022.

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Portfolio Update

Portfolio 1

Portfolio 1 for the week ended March 17, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • Rivian (NASD: RIVN) and Amazon are in negotiations to end the exclusivity deal Amazon has with Rivian for the first 100,000 of Rivian’s electric vans. On the surface this sounds like a negative development for Rivian, but it could free Rivian to focus on their higher profit margins vehicles and execute on its plans to deliver 50,000 vehicles in 2023. Rivian no longer has a demand problem with 114,000 reservations for Rivian trucks and SUVs and its expected it will take until late 2024 to clear the backlog. How one views this depends on whether you think the glass is half full or half empty.
  • ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (NYSE: ZIM) announced a dividend of US$6.40 payable to shareholders as of April 4, 2023. Not a bad quarterly dividend. 😊

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Dream Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: DIR.UN)

BSR Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: HOM.U)

Yellow Pages Ltd (TSX: Y)

US $

General Motors Co (NYSE: GM)

Quarterly Reports

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.

All currency listed in millions of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 13, 2023

  • Revenue of $2,188.9 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $3,466.4 for the same period in 2021. A decrease of almost 36%.
  • Net income of $416.5 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $1,708.4 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $3.44 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $14.17 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $12,561.6 for the year ended December 31, compared to $10,728.7 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 17%.
  • Net earnings of $4,629.0 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $4,649.1 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $38.35 for the year ended December 31, compared to $39.02 for the same period in 2021.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.

All currency listed in millions of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 17, 2023

  • Revenue of $748.0 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $592.0 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 26%.
  • Net loss of $74.4 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $175.6 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.11 for the three months ended December 31, compared to earnings of $0.27 per share for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $2,765.2 for the year ended December 31, compared to $2,274.1 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 22%.
  • Net loss of $212.0 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $264.9 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.33 for the year ended December 31, compared to earnings of $0.41 per share for the same period in 2021.

Portfolio 2

Portfolio 2 for the week ended March 17, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • The advertising technology partnership between Microsoft and Netflix (NASD: NFLX) may becoming to an end. The deal is for two years but Netflix is considering bringing its advertising technology in house, either buying the technology or building it themselves.
    Microsoft signed another 10-year licensing agreement to provide Xbox and Activision games with another cloud-based gaming company. This time it was with Japan’s Ubitus. The deal goes in effect once the Microsoft acquisition of Activision Blizzard (NASD: ATVI) closes. Microsoft now has licensing agreements in place with Nvidia, Nintendo, Boosteroid and Valve Corp, owner of Steam, the world’s largest video game distribution platform.
    Microsoft announced Artificial Intelligence (AI) will be rolled out to Office 365 users. The platform will be called ‘Microsoft 365’ and supposedly can pull data from other applications, help users with Excel formulas and features, summarize email chains and best of all, summarize virtual meetings on the Teams platform.
  • Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX: ATD) bought a portion of France’s TotalEnergies (NYSE: TTE) gas stations. In return for US$3.3 billion, ATD will receive all of TotalEnergies’ gas stations in Germany and the Netherlands, plus 60% of it’s station in Belgium and Luxembourg. ADT plans to turn these gas stations into food and service hubs, similar to the fuel stations it operates in North America.
  • Last December, Disney (NYSE: DIS) raised the price of its Disney+ ad free streaming service by 38% to US$10.99 per month. At the same time Disney launched the ad supported streaming service Disney+ Basic for US$7.99 per month. Despite the lower fee Disney+ Basic, Disney+ was able to maintain 94% of its subscribers. That is impressive pricing power!
  • Guardant Health’s (NASD:GH) co-CEO AmirAli Talasaz bought 97,000 shares of his company for approximately US$2.5 million. He now directly owns over 1.9 million shares. Usually, the only notices I receive of insider buys and sells is when an insider sells shares. If anyone should know how the company is doing it’s the CEO. When I saw this large purchase, it gave me renewed confidence in the company and the share price should recover.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

iA Financial Corporation Inc (TSX: IAG)

US $

No US$ dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

All currency listed in millions of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their third quarter 2023 financial results on March 15, 2023

  • Revenue of $20,055.1 for the 16 weeks ended January 29, compared to $18,576.4 for the same period in 2022. An increase of almost 8%.
  • Net income of $737.4 for the 16 weeks ended January 29, compared to net income of $746.4 in the same period in 2022.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.73 for the 16 weeks ended January 29, compared to $0.70 for the same period in 2022.

 

  • Revenue of $55,592.3 for the 40 weeks ended January 29, compared to $46,375.0 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 20%.
  • Net earnings of $2,420.2 for the 40 weeks ended January 29, compared to net earnings of $2,205.6 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $2.38 for the 40 weeks ended January 29, compared to $2.06 for the same period in 2021.

Portfolio 3

Portfolio 3 for the week ended March 17, 2023: UP Green Up Arrow, signifying a positive week

  • The Royal Bank (TSX: RY) is considered one of the favourites to pick up both SIVB’s current list of corporate customers, as well as future Canadian startup clients. With one of the most aggressive lenders to startups out of the picture (SIVB), the big five Canadian banks can afford to be more selective in who they help finance. Good for banks, not so good for startups.
  • Shopify (TSX: SHOP) has integrated Moovly Media Inc. (TSXV: MVY) E-commerce video maker into their web offerings. Moovly’s video maker provides Shopify’s merchants with the tools to create their own product videos and ads based on the data on their Shopify site.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

No dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

Fortuna Silver Mines Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 16, 2023

  • Revenue of $164.7 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $198.9 for the same period in 2021. A decrease of over 17%.
  • Net loss of $160.4 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $16.6 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.52 for the three months ended December 31, compared to earning of $0.05 per share for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $681.5 for the year ended December 31, compared to $599.9 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 14%.
  • Net loss of $135.9 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $59.4 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.44 for the year ended December 31, compared to earning of $0.24 per share for the same period in 2021.

48 hours: The Demise of a Bank

The markets were roiled the week ending March 10 by the collapse of the SVB Financial Group (NASD:SIVB), the banker to more than half of the US technology and healthcare startups. The fall of SIVB not only reverberated though the US financial sector but rippled throughout global markets, banking stocks in particular. SIVB was the 16th largest US bank before it became the largest collapse since the financial crisis of 2008 and the second biggest failure of a financial institution in US history.

But the damage was not limited to SIVB. American banks alone lost over US$100 billion in market value over Thursday and Friday. European banks lost another US$50 billion in value. I could not find any number for the Canadian banks, but the three banks in the Portfolios were all dragged down by the failure of SIVB, as you can see in the chart below.

What happened?

If you have not followed this story, here is my understanding on what brought down the America’s 16th largest bank and led to the closure of New York’s Signature Bank (NYSE:SBNY). Together these two banks became the second and third largest banking failures in US history.

For demonstration purposes, lets use 0.5% as the rate SIVB paid to its customers and 1.5% as the interest it received from the US government.

During the market boom of 2020 – 2021, the SIVB was raking in the deposits hand over fist. During that period, it was paying a variable interest rate of 0.5% to its customers. To make money to cover the interest payments to its customers, the SIVB took out a large position in US Treasuries that paid them a fixed rate of 1.5% over a 10 year or more period. The bank was receiving a full 1% more than they were paying their customers. The key here is the rate to customers was a variable rate while the rate the bank received was a fixed or locked in rate.

This was fine until the US Federal Reserve (Fed) started to raise the interest rates to where they currently sit at 4.5%, and likely to go higher by March 22, 2023. Remember SIVB was paying its customer a variable rate? The rate they were paying out rose to 4.5% when the Fed raised interest rates to fight inflation. Also remember the rate they were receiving money was at 1.5%. They were now paying out 3% more than they were receiving.

When interest rates rise, the value of bonds with a fixed rate goes down. Another effect of the higher interest rates was the value of the bonds they owned dropped. However, that was a paper loss since they haven’t sold the bonds.

As 2022 progressed, access to money became more expensive and many of SIVB’s corporate customers started to access their cash. To give customers their money, SIVB had to sell US$21 billion of those bonds at a loss of US$1.8 billion. Upon the sale of the bonds, the losses became real, and they had to be recognized on their financial statements. SIVB also announced an offering to raise US$2.25 billion to cover the losses caused by the sale of the bonds.

When the bank’s customers realized the bank was short on cash it started a run on the banks remaining cash. When investors heard what was happening, they dumped their SIVB shares as fast as possible, sending the share price from US$268 down to US$165 in afterhours trading. On Thursday, customers tried to withdraw US$42 billion of deposits. By the end of the day, the shares were down to US$106. With the collapse of the share price the offer was dead in the water. At 8:35 am on Friday, before the start of the regular trading hours (9:30 am), Nasdaq halted the stock.

After SIVB was unable to raise capital though their proposed US$2.25 billion stock sale, California regulators stepped in and shut SIVB down and put it into receivership to protect depositors. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was assigned as the receiver to liquidate the bank’s assets in an orderly fashion to pay back the depositors. Over the weekend, the FDIC tried to find a buyer for SIVB but were unable to find one.

By Sunday afternoon, to prevent further runs on banks, Signature was shut down by New York State regulators saying it faced similar risks to those that brought down SIVB. According to New York State officials, “the bank failed to provide reliable and consistent data, creating a significant crisis of confidence in the bank’s leadership.”

Finally, Sunday evening, the US government (U.S. Treasury, the Fed, and FDIC) said it was not bailing out the banks, but it would fully protect every depositor at SIVB and Signature, even if the amount exceeded the US$250,000 limit insured by the FDIC. In addition to ensuring depositors received all their money, the Fed announced a US$25 billion emergency loan program for banks to support the US banking system and prevent further runs from spreading through the banking sector. Government officials made it clear that “no losses will be borne by the taxpayer,” instead a special assessment on banks, as required by law, will be used to help uninsured customers.

On Monday, SIVB customers were able access to their cash. For shareholders of both banks, the story doesn’t end so well. Because the banks themselves are not being bailed out, only depositors, those who invested in shares or bonds of SIVB are not protected. For those who own shares in SIVB or Signature, consider your shares worthless. If its any consolation, government officials said senior executives of SIVB and Signature had been removed. The first of what are likely to be many lawsuits was initiated against SIVB’s holding company, its CEO and CFO. On Tuesday, lawsuits were filed against Signature and its top executives.

Many individuals and private businesses that did businesses with smaller regional banks were understandably nervous on Monday. To restore confidence in the US banking system and avoid runs on the smaller banks, US President Biden promised to bring in regulations to make it less likely for this type of failure to happen in the future and stated, “Americans can have confidence that the banking system is safe. Your deposits will be there when you need them.”

Who was affected?

Besides individual customers and private businesses, many technology companies had hundreds of millions of deposits at SIVB, most of it was likely uninsured. For example:

  • Roku (NASD:ROKU) had approximately US$487 million, or almost 26%, of its US$1.9 billion in cash at the bank.
  • Roblox (NYSE:RBLX) had US$150 million, or 5%, of its US$3 billion in cash.
  • AcuityAds Holding (TSX:AT) had US$55 million, or 90%, of its US$60 million of its cash deposits.

Following the collapse of SIVB, on Sunday Canadian regulators took temporary control of SIVB’s Canadian operations. The collapse of SIVB could severely curtail funding for Canada’s technology start-ups, leaving few options other than Canada’s big five banks who are more conservative when it comes to financing new ventures.

The collapse of SIVB is an example of how the Fed’s, and other central banks, battle with inflation is putting stress on the financial system and global markets. Higher interest rates have left banks loaded with low-interest, long term bonds that they are unable to sell quickly without incurring big losses. If too many customers suddenly withdraw their cash, and the bank needs to sell bonds to meet the cash demands, it risks getting into a death spiral like the one that claimed SIVB.

I find it ironic that the companies who conceivably owe their existence to funding from SIVB, and left the money on deposit at SIVB, were the same ones who helped set off a run on the bank’s deposits that delivered the coup de grace.

Weekly Update for the week ending March 10, 2023

Items that may only interest or educate me ….

Canadian interest rate pauses, Canadian trade surplus, Canadian economy grows, US interest rate concerns, US jobs, US bank fails …


January’s inflation rate was 5.9%, down from December’s 6.3%, and the economy was flat during the fourth quarter (October 1 through December 31). Given this environment, the Bank of Canada (BoC) doesn’t need additional interest rate hikes to keep inflation trending downward. Instead, the BoC plans to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.50% for the rest of this year.

At this week’s BoC meeting, the central bank announced it would hold the Canadian benchmark interest rate at 4.5%, making it the first major central bank to pause increases. It was the first time in over a year that the benchmark interest rate remained unchanged after eight consecutive increases. The BoC cited recent data that showed the economy was starting to slow down, a sign that the previous rate hikes were working. In an ideal scenario, inflation would fall back to the BoC’s 1% – 3% target range without any further intervention. However, they also made it clear that they were “prepared to increase the policy rate further if needed to return to the two per cent inflation target.”

One threat to the Canadian borrowing rate is the growing divergence from the US borrowing rate. Currently the Canadian benchmark interest rate is 4.5%, while the American rate is 4.75%. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) indicated they will raise the US benchmark interest rate by 0.25% at least once more, bringing the rate to at least 5.25%. Each time the Fed raises the rate it will likely create a higher exchange rate for American imports making them more expensive for Canadians, possibly triggering inflation by imported goods.

This BoC’s decision to pause rate increases in the face of higher US interest rates has already caused the Canadian dollar to drop to a five-month low against the US dollar. It will be interesting to see how the BoC responds if the Fed keeps raising the key US rate. Does it choose to increase rates to protect the Canadian dollar at the expense of the Canadian economy, or suspend or lower the interest rate, which will hurt the Canadian dollar and possibly trigger another type of inflation?


On the same day the BoC held the line on the interest rate, Statistics Canada reported a C$ 1.9 billion trade surplus in January. Analysts had expected a deficit of C$ 60 million. The December numbers were also revised from a C$ 160 million deficit to C$ 1.2 billion surplus. Total exports increased 4.2% to C$ 67 billion thanks to a wide ranging increase across all types of exports. One notable exception was a decline in energy products. Imports increased for the first time in three months, gaining 3.1% to C$ 65.1 billon. Motor vehicles and industrial equipment both rose more than 10% and were the primary driver for the increase. Trade with countries other than the US was also up, with exports rising 7.2% and imports rising 4.6%.


Statistics Canada reported the country’s February Labour Survey showed the Canadian economy added 21,800 jobs in February, analysts had been expecting an increase 10,000 jobs. The February jobs number was down considerably from 150,000 new jobs in January. Wage growth rose 5.4% in February, on a year over year basis, up from January’s 4.5%. Unemployment remained at 5.0% for the second consecutive month, slightly lower than analysts predictions of 5.1%.

If the Canadian labour market and wages keep growing, the BoC will likely increase Canada’s key interest rate at least once more in 2023 in their battle to bring down inflation. If inflation sticks around and the Fed makes more than one increase, the BoC will almost be forced to raise the interest rate.


The Fed has been signalling for a while now that they plan to raise rates higher and for longer to tame stubborn inflation. Many believed this was just talk. They factored in a 0.25% increase and thought that would be it. This week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell went to Congress and told them what he’s been telling us for a while now – interest rates will likely go higher than they originally predicted, and they may be forced to increase the size of the hikes. The markets reacted as if this was a surprise and immediately sank. Hearing it directly from Mr. Powell was different than inferring it from the various reports.

Mr. Powell said no decision regarding the size of the Fed’s upcoming interest rate hike had been made, but indicated if the data suggested a bigger interest rate hike was required, “we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes.” In other words, a 0.5% increase is possible, and additional rate hikes are likely to continue until the job numbers start to trend lower and the pace of wage increases falls. So now higher for longer has been replaced by higher, faster, longer.

He acknowledged the rate hikes would be painful but explained inflation hurts all Americans and raising interest rates is the only tool the Fed has to get inflation back down to their 2% target. He said the Fed was prepared to “stay the course until the job is done.” One thing for sure, Mr. Powell’s remarks rattled the markets, raising the volatility.

Who knew higher for longer actually meant, higher for longer. Another reason to remember the saying, “Don’t fight the Fed.”


The US Department of Labor reported 311,000 jobs were added to the American economy in February, higher than analysts’ projected 225,000, but a slowdown from January’s 511,000. However, the unemployment rate rose from a 54-year low of 3.4% to 3.6% thanks to more people entering the labour pool. As well, wage growth continued to slow, rising by 0.2% in February, down from January’s 0.3% gains.

The mixed signals of the report calmed investors who were concerned if the jobs report was too strong it would lead to the Fed raising the key interest rate by 0.05%. After this week’s jobs report showing the number of new jobs declined, wages growth slowed and unemployment rose, analysts and investors are now expecting a 0.25% increase. Next week’s CPI and retail sales results should provide investors an indication whether we are in store for the hoped for 0.25% increase or the higher 0.5% increase.


While fears of higher US interests were the talk of investors at the start of the week, the primary topic of conversation turned dramatically Wednesday afternoon when the SVB Financial Group (NASD:SIVB) announced they had lost US$ 1.8 billion on the sale of US$ 21 billion of securities. The sale was necessitated to provide cash to customers who needed to withdraw their money. Once investors got wind of this news they dumped their SIVB shares as fast as they could, sending the share price into a freefall. The share price plunged from US$ 268 late Wednesday afternoon to US$ 106 on Friday morning, before trading was halted by regulators.

Friday morning, California regulators took control of the bank, citing “inadequate liquidity and insolvency.” The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was assigned as the receiver. Insured depositors should have access to their money by Monday, while uninsured depositors will receive “an advance dividend within the next week.,” They will also receive a receivership certificate (essentially an IOU for any funds recovered) for the remaining amount of their uninsured funds. The bank is expected to resume its banking activities on Monday. No word if or when shares in SIVB will resume trading.

The collapse of SIVB was dramatically swift but not before concerns of liquidity swept through the American banking system and spread into Canada and other countries. The price of bank shares everywhere were down on Friday.

Back in late 2020, I considered SIVB because it was the banker to many of the high-flying tech stocks. The market, especially the technology sector was on a roll and SIVB had lots of upward momentum. I decided not buy shares for two reasons: I already had banks and other financial sector companies in each of the portfolios; since the 2008 financial crash I’ve been leery of American banks as investments. I believe Canadian banks are much more conservative than American banks and I had very little firsthand experience with American banking system. With memories of the 2008 financial crash in the back of my mind, I felt the risk was too high for me. I’m very glad I decided to stick to the Canadian financial sector.

For more on the Silicon Bank collapse, check out the post “48 hours: The Demise of a bank.”


Besides the demise of a bank, let’s see what other exciting events happened this past week….

Weekly Market Review

Monday: After last week’s late rally, the indexes got off to a good start but faded at lunch before finishing the day either barely above or barely below where they started. In Canada, the resource heavy Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index (TSX) ended lower after China set a lower-than-expected growth target. Projected softer demand from China dragged down commodity prices. In the Canadian S&P sector, Consumer Staples, Telecommunications Services, and Utilities were the only sectors to end higher, while Basic Materials (miners and fertilizer manufacturers) and Healthcare fell the most.

In the USA, investors were waiting to hear what the Fed chair would say to the US Congress this week. Investors hoped to get an idea about the number and size of upcoming interest rate hikes. The lates jobs report comes out at the end of the week. Investors are hoping to see the number of new jobs is decreasing and wage growth is slowing. In the markets, the S&P 500 Index (S&P) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) edged higher while the Nasdaq Composite Index (Nasdaq) ended slightly lower. In the American S&P sectors, Utilities, Technology and Telecommunications Services were the only sectors to advance. Basic Materials and Consumer Cyclicals dropped the most.

Tuesday: All four indexes plunged when the Fed Chair told the US Congress that interest rates were likely to go higher, and they were prepared to make larger increases if needed. His comments opened the door for a 0.5% increase to the US benchmark rate at the next meeting of the Fed in late March. Analysts and investors had been expecting 0.25% rate increase. Oil prices fell on China’s weak growth forecast.

In Canada, concerns of lower demand from China for commodities combined with news of higher US interest rates to send all Canadian sectors lower except for the defensive Utilities sector. The commodities sectors Basic Materials and Energy took the brunt of the pain, dropping the most.

In the US, fears of a larger increase sent investors scurrying for the exists, causing each American index to fall by more than 1%. In trading, all S&P US sectors ended lower. Telecommunications Services and Technology dropped the least while Basic Materials and Financials dropped the most.

Wednesday: It was a rollercoaster ride for all four indexes. A late rally lifted all four indexes but not enough to get the DJIA above the line to join the other three indexes in the green. Economic data indicated the number of job openings declined, a sign that the American economy was slowing. Oil prices dropped as fears of higher interest rates won the daily tug of war with hopes for higher consumption from China.

In Canada, the TSX closed higher, recouping some of the losses from earlier this week. The main driver was Canadian technology companies rising on the news the BoC left the key Canadian interest rate at 4.5%, as expected. On the trading floor, the Technology sector gained more than three times as much as the Industrials sectors, the second-best performer of the Canadian sectors. The Healthcare and Consumer Cyclicals sectors were the worst performers of a group of four sectors that all ended lower.

In the US, investors considered the Fed Chair’s remarks that there may be a larger than expected interest rate hike, but no decision about the size of the increase had been made. Investors are now waiting for the February jobs report due Friday, and next week’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. On Wall Street, of the S&P American sectors, Basic Materials and Utilities gained the most while Energy and Healthcare dropped the most.

Thursday: All four indexes rose in early morning trading before turning sharply downward to end the day solidly in the red. The main driver was fear tomorrow’s US jobs report could lead to an aggressive interest rate hike by the Fed. Financial companies in Canada and the US took a hit after the American bank SVB Financial launched a capital raise to strengthen its balance sheet. SIVB is one of the most popular bankers for American startup technology and healthcare companies.

In Canada, the TSX fell hard on concerns about job numbers in both countries. The downdraft caused by the US financial sector didn’t help. Every Canadian sector ended in the red with Technology and Utilities dropping the least while Telecommunications Services and Basic Materials fell the furthest.

In the US, problems with SIVB rippled throughout the US financial sector, sending the Financials sector to is biggest one day decline in almost three years. SIVB itself saw its share price fall by more than 60%. In trading, it was a broad-based day of losses in the American markets as all sectors ended the day lower. The defensive sectors Consumer Staples and Utilities fell the least while Financials and Basic Materials faired the worst.

Friday: The week ended on a sour note as all four major North American indexes each lost over 1% today. The failure of SIVB led to an overall drop in bank companies in the US, and Canadian banks were caught in the downdraft. Oil prices fell again on concerns US rate hikes could cause a recession and drive down demand for oil.

In Canada, another higher than expected Canadian jobs report raised concerns the BoC may need to raise Canada’s borrowing rate again to ensure inflation in Canada remains on its downward trajectory. In trading, all Canadian sectors declined with Telecommunications Services and Basic Materials falling the least, while Technology and Financials fell the furthest.

In the US, once again the US jobs report came in better than expected, showing a slowdown from January and that wage growth continued to slow. Normally the jobs report would have been the lead financial item, but it was overshadowed by the uncertainties of the banking system. In the American markets, for the second straight day, no sector was spared. Telecommunications Services and Consumer Staples fell the least while Financials and Industrials dropped the most.


For the week, the TSX dropped 3.9%, the S&P 500 fell 4.5%, the DJIA had it worst week since June 2022, sinking 4.4% and the Nasdaq plunged 4.7%.

Weekly Portfolio Review

Bearish marketA quick look at the chart above and it won’t take much to see it was not a good week in the markets. If it had been a water slide, it would’ve been a fun ride. 😊 Midweek comments from the Fed Chair, mixed data from the February jobs report, and then the meltdown of the SIVB to end the week were the main culprits for the plunge of the three American indexes.

The TSX suffered its largest weekly decline since September 2022, dragged down by the crisis in the US banking sector. Concerns of higher American interest rates, and the mixed Canadian February jobs report caused speculation that the BoC would raise the Canadian benchmark interest rate, either to protect the Canadian dollar, drive down inflation in Canada, or both.

With the indexes tumbling this past week it was no surprise all three portfolios were lower, as shown below. Each portfolio owns at least one of the big five Canadian banks which were dragged down by the overall global downdraft in financial stocks.

With concerns about the Fed’s upcoming increase to the US interest rate in the next two weeks, and more shake out to come from the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, I am guessing the next few weeks will be quite volatile. Hopefully, losses will be minimal, but the markets are unpredictable, as we experienced this past week.

Weekly Portfolio & Index performance
Weekly Portfolio & Index performance for the week ended March 10, 2023.

Companies on the Radar

Stocks on my RadarThis past week I dropped Kits Eyecare (TSX:KITS) from my Radar List because it seems too risky given the current financial environment. The other company dropping off the radar was Jabil Inc. (NYSE:JBL). I haven’t decided one way or another after a few weeks of being on the radar so I might as well move it off.

Joining the three holdovers from last week (listed below) are Airbnb (NASD:ABNB), Vale (NYSE:VALE) and Smartcentres Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX:SRU.UN). Airbnb is the online platform allowing people to book private residences for short term stays. The company has grown considerably in popularity and financially the last few years. The share price was knocked down significantly in 2022 so this might be a good time to invest.

Vale is a global mining company that extracts and sells various metals and rare earth elements such as nickel, cobalt, gold, copper, and the traditional iron ore. Many of the metals are used in the growing electric vehicles industry and electrical charging systems. As long as there is demand for electric vehicles, there should be demand for at least one of the metals this company produces. The company also provides a 4% dividend.

Smartcentres owns and manages a number of income producing malls and retails spaces across Canada, with Walmart Canada as one of their principal tenants. The company plans to develop their existing malls into mixed residential, office and retail spaces. This should provide a good mix of income producing properties, all in one company. The monthly dividend is currently close to 7%.

On a side note, companies on the radar are companies not owned in any of the three portfolios. When it comes to investing in a company, it may be from the list below or a company in one of the Portfolios.

  • Intact Financial (TSX:IFC): a mid size insurance company supplying home, car and business insurance in Canada, the US, and the UK.
  • Hammond Power Solutions (TSX:HPS.A): a Canadian company manufacturing transformers used throughout the world in a wide variety of industries.
  • Supremex (TSX:SXP): a small cap company selling packing solutions throughout Canada and the USA.

The Radar Check was last updated March 10, 2022.

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Portfolio Update

Portfolio 1

Portfolio 1 for the week ended March 10, 2023: DOWN Red Down Arrow

  • Tesla (NASD:TSLA) has again lowered prices on their electric vehicles. This time it was the Plaid (higher performance) versions of the Model S (4%) and Model X (9%). The lower prices are part of Tesla’s strategy to drive demand through lower prices.
    Separately, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has started an investigation to determine if steering wheels in the 2023 Model Y were not properly secured to the steering column. There have been two reports of the steering wheel coming off while the vehicles were being driven.
    Tesla also announced the plain to eliminate the use of rare earth elements (REE) from the next generation of their electric vehicles. They plan to redesign their motors to eliminate REE in favour of other alternatives such as ferrite. One reason for the switch is many of the REE used in the vehicles come from China. Tesla, and other car companies, have a strong desire to wean themselves from volatile Chinese based supply chains. I suspect if a western friendly nation can supply the REE needed by the EV there won’t be as much urgency to become REE free.
  • One of the biggest buyers of Nvidia’s (NASD:NVDA) semiconductors is China’s Huawei. Unfortunately for Nvidia, Huawei is one of many Chinese companies on the US government’s blacklist. Under current US law, American companies cannot sell advanced technologies, like semiconductors, to Chinese companies. Under a proposed amendment, the US government will further restrict sales to Huawei which will have a negative impact on Nvidia sales.
  • As part of efforts to reduce cost, GM (NYSE:GM) has offered buyouts to salaried employees in the US with five or more years of service and global employees with at least two years of service. GM expects to take this US$ 1.5 billion charge in the first half of 2023.
  • For the third straight year, Lattice Semiconductor (NASD:LSCC) has won a Cybersecurity Excellence Award. Their Lattice Sentry and Lattice SupplyGuard were rated the best in North America in the embedded security and endpoint security product/service categories.

Activity

Bought Trisura Group (TSX:TSU). I mentioned in the February 24 Weekly Update, I sold some shares in Trisura when I found out it had pushed back its earnings announcement. The earnings report came out last week and the share price jumped to higher than I had sold it. This was looking like a case of shooting myself in the foot if I wanted to buy back the shares. However, I put in a limited Buy bid, good until March 10, for approximately $1 less than I had sold it, hoping the share price would fall to that level. Fortunately, this week Trisura’s share price temporarily dropped far enough that my bid was hit. I am back to the number of shares I originally had, and after transaction fees, I made a few bucks. 😊

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

TMX Group Ltd (TSX:X)

US $

No US$ dividends this past week.

Quarterly Reports

Cargojet Inc.

All currency listed in millions of Canadian dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 6, 2023

  • Revenue of $267 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $235.9 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 13%.
  • Net income of $2.6 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $102 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.15 for the three months ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $5.70 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $979.9 for the year ended December 31, compared to $757.8 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 29%.
  • Net earnings of $190.6 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $167.4 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $10.15 for the year ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $9.51 for the same period in 2021.

Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 7, 2023

  • Revenue of $637,367 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $431,010 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 48%.
  • Net loss of $48,932 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $41,739 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.20 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a loss per share of $0.18 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $2,241,236 for the year ended December 31, compared to $1,451,594 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 54%.
  • Net loss of $182,285 for the year ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $232,378 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.79 for the year ended December 31, compared to a loss per share of $1.03 for the same period in 2021.

SE Limited

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 7, 2023

  • Revenue of $3451,584 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $3,222,114 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 7%.
  • Net income of $422,838 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $616,289 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.72 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a loss per share of $1.12 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $12,449,705 for the year ended December 31, compared to $9,955,190 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 25%.
  • Net loss of $1,657,772 for the year ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $2,043,030 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $2.96 for the year ended December 31, compared to a loss per share of $3.84 for the same period in 2021.

Nuvei Corporation

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 8, 2023

  • Revenue of $220,339 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $211,875 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 4%.
  • Net income of $9,352 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $12,339 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.06 for the three months ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $0.07 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $843,323 for the year ended December 31, compared to $724,526 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 16%.
  • Net earnings of $61,955 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $107,045 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.39 for the year ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $0.71 for the same period in 2021.

Docusign, Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 9, 2023

  • Revenue of $659,576 for the three months ended January 31, compared to $580,828 for the same period in 2022. An increase of over 13%.
  • Net income of $4,863 for the three months ended January 31, compared to a net loss of $30,445 in the same period in 2022.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.02 for the three months ended January 31, compared to a loss per share of $0.15 for the same period in 2022.

 

  • Revenue of $2,515,915 for the year ended January 31, compared to $2,107,213 for the same period in 2022. An increase of over 19%.
  • Net loss of $97,454 for the year ended January 31, compared to a net loss of $69,976 in the same period in 2022.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.49 for the year ended January 31, compared to a loss per share of $0.36 for the same period in 2022.

Nano-X Imaging Ltd.

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 9, 2023

  • Revenue of $2,132 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $1,304 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 64%.
  • Net loss of $44,837 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $22,035 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.86 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a loss per share of $0.44 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $8,579 for the year ended December 31, compared to $1,304 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 660%.
  • Net loss of $105,243 for the year ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $61,798 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $2.01 for the year ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $1.28 for the same period in 2021.

Docebo Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 9, 2023

  • Revenue of $38,955 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $29,801 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 31%.
  • Net income of $1,600 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $1,428 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.05 for the three months ended December 31, compared to a loss per share of $0.04 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $142,912 for the year ended December 31, compared to $104,242 for the same period in 2021. An increase of over 37%.
  • Net earnings of $7,018 for the year ended December 31, compared to a net loss of $13,601 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.21 for the year ended December 31, compared to a loss per share of $0.41 for the same period in 2021.

Crew Energy Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of Canadian dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 8, 2023

  • Revenue of $136,948 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $103,153 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 33%.
  • Net income of $71,383 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $50,901 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.44 for the three months ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $0.31 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $598,569 for the year ended December 31, compared to $332,848 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 80%.
  • Net earnings of $264,359 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $205,299 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $1.63 for the year ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $1.27 for the same period in 2021.

Portfolio 2

Portfolio 2 for the week ended March 10, 2023: DOWN Red Down Arrow

  • A new oversight board that controls the Disney World (NYSE:DIS) special taxing district, handpicked by the Governor of Florida, will be examining “all of the needed actions to get back on track.” Disney World has been an autonomous tax district since inception so it will be interesting what impacts this new oversight board has on the ‘Happiest place on Earth.’
  • Guardant Health and Sermonix Pharmaceuticals, announced the start of a phase 3 ELAINE-3 study of lasofoxifene. They study will use Guardant’s Guardant360 CDx blood test to identify patients who have an ESR1 mutation after first-line therapy. The Guardant360 CDx liquid biopsy is a next-generation sequencing-based test that detects genomic alterations using circulating tumor DNA from the blood. Lasofoxifene is used for certain metastatic breast cancer patients who are resistant to existing endocrine therapies.
    In a separate announcement, Guardant submitted the premarket approval application for its Shield blood test to the US Food and Drug Administration. Shield is the company’s blood test to screen for colorectal cancer.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

No C$ dividends this past week.

US $

Microsoft Corp. (NASD:MSFT)

Quarterly Reports

MongoDB, Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of US dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 8, 2023

  • Revenue of $361,312 for the three months ended January 31, compared to $266,494 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 36%.
  • Net loss of $64,398 for the three months ended January 31, compared to a net loss of $84,448 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $0.93 for the three months ended January 31, compared to a loss per share of $1.26 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $1,284,040 for the year ended January 31, compared to $837,782 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 47%.
  • Net loss of $345,398 for the year ended January 31, compared to a net loss of $306,866 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted loss per ordinary share of $5.03 for the year ended January 31, compared to a loss per share of $4.75 for the same period in 2021.

Crew Energy Inc.

All currency listed in thousands of Canadian dollars.

Selected highlights from their fourth quarter 2022 financial results on March 8, 2023

  • Revenue of $136,948 for the three months ended December 31, compared to $103,153 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 33%.
  • Net income of $71,383 for the three months ended December 31, compared to net income of $50,901 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.44 for the three months ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $0.31 for the same period in 2021.

 

  • Revenue of $598,569 for the year ended December 31, compared to $332,848 for the same period in 2021. An increase of almost 80%.
  • Net earnings of $264,359 for the year ended December 31, compared to net earnings of $205,299 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $1.63 for the year ended December 31, compared to earnings per share of $1.27 for the same period in 2021.

Portfolio 3

Portfolio 3 for the week ended March 10, 2023, 2023: DOWN Red Down Arrow

  • The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) is launching a probe into the various digital platforms offered by companies such as Microsoft (NASD:MSFT) and Alphabet (NASD:GOOGL). The probe will examine expansion strategies, the interoperability of the platforms and products, and the collection of personal data. Given how much data these tech giants collect, it would be interesting to see what the ACCC discovers.
    In an attempt to address anti competition concerns expressed by Britain’s Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) Microsoft said it would license Activision Blizzard (NASD:ATVI) games to Sony (NYSE:SONY) for 10 years. This arrangement is similar to the one recently signed by Nvidia and Nintendo (OTCM:NTDOY). The CMA and Sony have suggested Microsoft needs to sell Activision’s top selling game, Call of Duty.
    Microsoft is working with GM to investigate the possibilities of integrating Microsoft’s ChatGPT artificial intelligence into GM’s vehicles. The bot could be used to help owners with vehicle features that are usually outlined in owner’s manuals.

Activity

No significant activity to report this week.

Dividends

Dividends Received this week for the following companies:

Companies followed by DRIP (Dividend Re-Investment Plan) indicate additional shares were purchased with the dividend. Any cash leftover was added to the cash balance.

Canadian $

Royal bank of Canada (TSX:RY)

US $

Microsoft Corp. (NASD:MSFT)

Quarterly Reports

Enghouse

All currency listed in thousands of Canadian dollars.

Selected highlights from their first quarter 2023 financial results on March 9, 2023

  • Revenue of $106,435 for the three months ended January 31, compared to $111,102 for the same period in 2021. A decrease of over 4%.
  • Net income of $17,023 for the three months ended January 31, compared to net income of $21,597 in the same period in 2021.
  • Diluted earnings per ordinary share of $0.31 for the three months ended January 31, compared to earnings per share of $0.39 for the same period in 2021.