For the past few weeks, I’ve been talking about tariffs – what they are, how they affect consumers, and how they affect the Canadian dollar. But tariffs rarely happen in isolation. When one country imposes them, the other often fires back with its own set of retaliatory tariffs. With this week’s announcement of sweeping US tariffs on imports from almost all trading partners, it’s the perfect time to discuss the next round of the trade war: counter tariffs.
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Weekly Update for the week ending March 28, 2025
Economists and analysts have been bringing up the word ‘stagflation’ lately – and that’s not a good thing. It’s an economic scenario no one wants, where growth stalls while prices keep rising. The term might sound complicated but understanding it now can help you avoid surprises later. So this week, I thought I’d go over what stagflation is and explain it in a way that’s easy to understand.
What is Stagflation?
Imagine you’re driving in bumper-to-bumper traffic – moving painfully slow – but at the same time, your car’s engine is overheating. That’s basically stagflation in economic terms: the economy isn’t growing much (or at all), but prices keep rising. Normally, inflation happens when the economy is booming, and a slowdown helps cool things down. But stagflation flips the script, combining slow growth with rising costs – something that can leave consumers squeezed and businesses struggling.
Weekly Update for the week ending March 21, 2025
How Tariff Wars Are Impacting the Canadian Dollar—And What It Means for Us
With all the talk about tariffs and their effect on the Canadian and US economies, I started wondering – what do these trade battles mean for the already weak Canadian dollar? My first thought? It can’t be good. But that made me realize I wasn’t entirely sure how tariffs influence our currency or what that means for us as consumers, businesses, and investors. As Daenerys Targaryen would say, “Let’s begin!”
Weekly Update for the week ending October 4, 2024
October: A Month of Market Mayhem or Opportunities?
September may be notorious for its volatility, but October is when the real drama unfolds in the markets. October has witnessed some of the stock market’s most jaw-dropping crashes, earning its reputation for volatility. One of the earliest examples was the Panic of 1907, which peaked in October, wiping out about 50% of the market’s value due to a banking crisis sparked by failed speculation. Then there’s Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929, a date forever linked to the crash that ushered in the Great Depression. Preceded by Black Thursday (October 24) and Black Monday (October 28), this period erased massive wealth and sent shockwaves across the global economy. Fast forward to October 19, 1987—Black Monday—when the Dow Jones nosedived 22.6% in a single day, the largest one-day percentage drop in US history. Fueled by program trading, overvalued stocks, and low liquidity, this crash triggered investor panic.
However, October is also known for remarkable recoveries. After the 1987 crash, the markets began to recover within months, regaining most losses by year-end. Similarly, October 2002 signaled the bottom of the bear market that followed the dot-com bubble burst, paving the way for a bull run that lasted until October 2007, during which the S&P 500 more than doubled, driven by economic recovery, low interest rates, and strong corporate earnings. While October is notorious for downturns, it also marks key turning points toward recovery.
Weekly Update for the week ending June 7, 2024
This week’s update kicks off with some promising news that could impact your future investments and for borrowers across the board, whether they are individuals with mortgages, personal loans, or businesses with loans. As anticipated, the Bank of Canada trimmed the Canadian benchmark interest rate by 0.25%. While it may seem like a small adjustment, it is a step in the right direction. Additionally, positive developments emerged on the US economic front, indicating a cooling job market, which often signals a slowdown in the US economy. This shift raises the possibility of a rate cut in the US later this fall.
Weekly Update for the week ending February 16, 2024
The past six months have been a rollercoaster ride for investors as expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate policy shifted gears. Initially, investors and analysts were talking about the Fed maintaining the rate at 5.5% for a while, only to switch towards discussions of potential rate cuts early in 2024. However, recent inflation […]