If February was driven by fears around artificial intelligence (AI) spending and disruption, March marked a sharp shift to geopolitics – and the ripple effects that followed. The month started on a positive note but quickly turned lower after the US/Israel strikes on Iran, a development that changed the tone almost overnight.
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Weekly Update for the week ending March 13, 2026
If the Conflict Stays Short, These Sectors Could Move Most
Last week [link to Mar 6] I looked at the recent US and Israeli strikes on Iran from an investor’s perspective. The situation is still evolving, but one of the key questions for markets is how long the conflict might last. If the fighting remains relatively short – perhaps four to five weeks – history suggests the economic impact would likely be uneven rather than universally negative.
Geopolitical shocks tend to push markets into a brief “risk-off” phase where investors shift away from more cyclical or economically sensitive sectors and toward industries that benefit directly from higher energy prices or global uncertainty. The result is often a temporary reshuffling of winners and losers across sectors rather than a lasting change to the overall economic outlook. This week, I’ll discuss how a four-to-five week conflict could impact three of the key sectors that move the markets in Canada, as well as three that drive the US market.
Weekly Update for the week ending March 6, 2026
Oil Surges, Volatility Returns
In February, artificial intelligence (AI) optimism and anxiety were the main winds that buffeted the markets (and buffet they did 😊). But as the month closed, a very different storm rolled in. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply, shifting investor focus from AI concerns and earnings reports to energy supply and global stability.
Weekly Update for the week ending February 27, 2026
Trade Uncertainty Returns
Last week, the United States Supreme Court ruled that many of President Trump’s global tariffs were illegal. Within days, the White House announced a new 10% tariff on imports from all countries, with plans to raise it to 15%.
Let’s take a look at how we got here – and the uncertainty it has created.
Weekly Update for the week ending February 20, 2026
AI Disrupters
For the past few years, anything connected to artificial intelligence (AI) felt unstoppable. Investors poured money into AI-related companies, pushing valuations higher as excitement around the technology grew. There were concerns about the massive capital expenditures required to build AI infrastructure, but the dominant narrative was simple: invest now, dominate later.
This year, that tailwind has started to feel more like a headwind. Investors shifted from asking, “Who benefits from AI?” to “When will companies start seeing a return on all that investment?” – and now, “Who gets disrupted by it?” That change in mindset helped trigger the recent meltdowns.
Weekly Update for the week ending February 13, 2026
Three Reports, One Story: Connecting the Economic Dots
This week gave us something we don’t often see – all three major US economic reports landed at once. Because of the recent partial government shutdown, the labour report, retail sales data, and CPI inflation numbers were released in the same week. Normally, these reports are spaced out, with jobs data arriving first and inflation and retail sales following mid-month. Seeing them together offers a rare opportunity to step back and view the American economy through three connected lenses at the same time.